Medvedev vs Rublev: the Russian derby

On August 21, Daniil Medvedev takes on Andrei Rublev in the Cincinnati Masters semifinals. What to expect from this match? Our answer is in the prediction below.

Command Analysis

Daniil Medvedev

Medvedev is showing brilliant play in Cincinnati, just like a week before in Toronto. He is one of the main contenders for the trophy. The Russian tennis player hasn't lost a single set at the current tournament. At the start of his campaign, Medvedev defeated Mackenzie McDonald (6-2, 6-2), then outplayed Grigor Dimitrov (6-3, 6-3). In the quarterfinal match against Pablo Carreno Busta, Medvedev got revenge for the defeat at the Tokyo Olympics (6-1, 6-1).

Andrey Rublev

All matches of Rublev at the current tournament were quite close. Rublev had difficulties even with much weaker opponents, and we don't think he has what it takes to win this tournament. In his Cincinnati opener, Rublev scored a strong-willed victory over Marin Cilic (5-7, 6-3, 6-1). Then, in two tie-breaks, he outplayed Gael Monfils. As for the quarterfinals, Rublev had a tough time against Benoit Paire, whom he defeated in three sets (6-2, 3-6, 6-3).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Rublev has played 4 tie-breaks in 5 matches.

Ставка1st set: total under 9,5 games
Medvedev played under 9,5 games in the first set in 4 of his last 5 matches.

Tip and bets
Medvedev is the obvious favourite in this pair. He leads the head-to-head against Rublev at 5-0. Medvedev is having a much more impressive run in Cincinnati this year, and we believe that he should not have any difficulties in the upcoming match. We bet on his confident victory over Rublev.
Our prediction - Medvedev to win with a handicap (-3.5) games.
The tennis players have met five times, and Medvedev confidently won all of them. He is a clear favorite, and we think he will defeat his compatriot in straight sets.
Second prediction -total under 22 games.