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Fernandez vs Osaka: another confident victory for Naomi?
In the third round of US Open Leylah Fernandez will play against Naomi Osaka on September 4. Will the current champion experience any problems in the match? The answer is in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Leylah Fernandez
CanadaOne year ago Leylah Fernandez performed at women's singles US Open tournament for the first time in her career. She reached the second round in that tournament. In 2021 Canadian player improved her result and will now play in the third round.
She achieved that result by beating Konjuh (7:6, 6:2) and Kanepi (7:5, 7:5). Both of those matches were difficult. In each of those matches Fernandez made way too many unforced errors. 27 in the match against Konjuh and even more in the match against Kanepi - 36. But she was fortunate, her opponents made even more mistakes. Estonian player made 50 unforced errors in just two sets.
Naomi Osaka
JapanNaomi Osaka is defending her title at New York. We should remind that player won two US Open titles - in 2018 and in 2020.
On her way to the third round Osaka played only one match. In the first round she recorded an easy victory over Marie Bouzkova (6:4, 6:1). Her second round opponent, Olga Danilovic, withdrew herself from the match.
Trends
СтавкаSets performance: 1=2
Three out of five most recent matches of Fernandez ended with an equal number of games in first two sets
СтавкаSecond set: total under 9.5
In four out of five most recent matches of Osaka no more than nine games were played in the second set
Tip and bets
Fernandez played two matches at New York and in both of them she was not looking confident, made too many unforced errors. In first two matches her opponents made many mistakes as well, but Osaka will probably play more accurately. We are not expecting a sensation in this match, so we offer a bet on a confident victory for the favourite.
Our prediction - Osaka to win with a handicap of (-5) games
In her first US Open match Osaka lost only five games to Bouzkova. We are not expecting a better performance from inconsistent Fernandez.
Our second bet is on total under 20 games
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