USA vs Canada: match of the neighbours
In Round 2 of World Cup qualification in CONCACAF section USA national team will host Canada on September 6. Will Americans record a victory at home? The answer is in our prediction.

Command Analysis

USA

After the first round USA national team have only one point in their asset, they played a draw with Salvador (0:0) on away game. Gregg Berhalter's men had some advantage on ball possession and hit more shots on target than their opponent, but overall it was an even match, so the result is fair. Before that Americans won nine matches in a row. In the final of Gold Cup they recorded a victory over Mexico in extra-time (1:0).

Canada

Canada national team started the World Cup qualification with a draw against Honduras (1:1) at home. Canadians had an advantage on ball possession, but they hit less shots on target than their opponent. Hosts conceded a goal just before the half-time, they managed to score an equalizer in the second half, but failed to take the lead.
Before that Canadians were beaten by Mexico in the semi-final of Gold Cup (1:2).
Trends
СтавкаExact score 1:0
Three most recent head-to-head matches at USA's home ended with that score

СтавкаUSA to score in the first half
In six most recent home matches team scored before the half-time

СтавкаTotal of the first half under 1.5
In four out of five most recent head-to-head matches at USA's home this bet won

Tip and bets
Americans won three out of four most recent head-to-head matches, they were beaten at home by their neighbours for the most recent time in 1957. USA national team have a better squad, plus they are way more experienced than their opponents. After a slip-up in the first game they will be extremely motivated to play aggressively in the match against Canada.
We think that home team will lead the game and they will be able to record a home victory and pick up three points.
Our prediction - USA to win
Head-to-head matches are usually low-scoring. In the first round teams showed that they have some problems in the offensive game, Americans are in the desperate need of three points, so they will probably turn their attention to defense. The outcome of the game will probably be decided by one or two goals.
Our second bet is on total under 2.5 goals