Mertens vs Collins: prediction for the WTA Chicago match
Belgian player already has one victory over Collins. Will Elise Mertens record a victory over the American player at Chicago on September 30? The answer is in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens arrived to Chicago after a disappointing performance at Luxembourg. Two weeks ago she barely avoided defeat in the match against Sasnovich (3:6, 6:2, 7:5) and then she was beaten in straight sets by Vondrousova (5:7, 2:6).
Before the start of Chicago tournament there were concerns about Mertens' performance in the match against Dayana Yastremska. But Belgian player recorded a confident victory (6:1, 6:3). In two sets her opponent didn't have a single break-point.

Danielle Collins

After US Open Danielle Collins had a long pause and before the start of Chicago tournament she didn't play a single official match. World No. 28 player reached the third round at New York, where she was beaten by Aryna Sabalenka (3:6, 3:6).
American player already had two matches at Chicago. In the first one she recorded a victory over out-of-form Flipkens in straight sets (6:4, 6:2). In the second match she needed to play three sets to record a victory over Misaki Doi (4:6, 6:3, 7:5). Danielle put up a poor performance at her serve - her opponent had 12 break-points and converted six of them.
Trends
СтавкаSets performance: 1>2
In three out of five most recent matches of Collins more games were played in the first set than in the second one

СтавкаSecond set: total under 9.5
Four most recent matches of Mertens ended with a total under 9.5 games in the second set

Tip and bets
Mertens performed much better than her opponent in previous matches of Chicago tournament. Moreover, Mertens already has one victory over her opponent in the head-to-head match. We offer to place a bet on the Belgian player to win.
Our prediction - Mertens to win
Collins surely won't leave the home tournament without a fight. Plus Mertens is not consistent enough to record a confident victory. We are expecting a long match.
Our second bet is on total over 21 games