Zverev vs Medvedev: prediction for the ATP Finals match

Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev face off in the final match of the tournament in Turin. Who will win the trophy? Our answer is in the prediction below.

Command Analysis

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev defeated Novak Djokovic in the semifinal match (7-6, 4-6, 6-3), which was his second victory against the Serb in this season. The first one was at the Tokyo Olympics, where Zverev eventually won the gold medal. Now he has a chance to lift the trophy in Turin.
Zverev is on top form and is demonstrating excellent performance. In the group, the German athlete lost to Medvedev in a tight match (3-6, 7-6, 6-7), and won the other two fixtures - against Matteo Berrettini, who withdrew during the second set (7-6, 1-0), and Hubert Hurkacz (6-2, 6-4).

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev played three sets in all of his group matches. First, he defeated Hubert Hurkacz (6-7, 6-3, 6-4), then outplayed Alexander Zverev (6-3, 6-7, 7-6), and celebrated success against Jannik Sinner (6-0, 6-7, 7-6).
The Russian tennis player cruised to victory in the semifinal match against Casper Ruud (6-4, 6-2).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Zverev played 4 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.

Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
Medvedev played more than 9 games in the first set in 3 out of 5 matches.

Tip and bets
Zverev is in great spirits after his victory against Djokovic, and he will definitely create problems for Medvedev today. However, the Russian won the previous five head-to-head matches, including a win at the group stage of the final tournament. We predict that Medvedev will win the ATP Finals for the second year in a row.
Our prediction - handicap (-2) to Medvedev
The group match between Medvedev and Zverev was exciting and long, with three sets and two tie-breaks. We expect a close battle in the final, too, and suggest betting on the total over.
Second bet - total over 23 games