Liontips
Kanepi vs Sabalenka: prediction for the WTA Australian Open match
One year ago at one of Australian tournaments Kaia Kanepi beat Aryna Sabalenka. Will Belarusian player get revenge in the round of 16 at Australian Open on January 24? The answer is in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Kaia Kanepi
EstoniaHardly anyone expected the World No. 115 player, Kaia Kanepi, to reach the round of 16 at Australian Open. But Estonian player managed to reach that stage due to her experience and an easy draw at the tournament.
In the first round Kanepi recorded a victory over out-of-form Kerber (6:4, 6:3). In the second round she beat Bouzkova (6:2, 7:6) in straight sets. In the third round Kanepi needed three sets to beat Madison Inglis (2:6, 6:2, 6:0). In the most recent match Estonian player put up a bad serving performance, she lost four games at her serve.
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusAryna Sabalenka had a difficult path to the round of 16 at Australian Open. In each of three matches the World No. 2 player needed three sets to record a victory.
In first two rounds of Melbourne tournament Sabalenka experienced problems in matches against lower ranked Sanders (5:7, 6:3, 6:2) and Wang Xinyu (1:6, 6:4, 6:2). In the third round Belarusian player had a difficult match against Vondrousova. Once again Sabalenka lost the first set, but managed to come back (4:6, 6:3, 6:1). In the third set Sabalenka made less unforced errors - only 36 with the same number of winners. Overall, Sabalenka's performance improved in the second and third sets. Probably this victory will let her to gain self-confidence.
Trends
СтавкаSets performance: 1>2
This bet played in four out of five matches of Sabalenka
Ставка2nd set: total over 9.5
In three out of five most recent matches of Kanepi no more than ten games were played in the second set
Tip and bets
Both players were not so consistent on their way to the round of 16. But Sabalenka managed to beat a dangerous opponent, Vondrousova, on her way here and overall here performance has improved and we can't say the same about Kanepi. Estonian player is just inconsistent at the first serve. Sabalenka plays well on the receive of the second serve, so she will have many chances for breaks. We offer to place a bet on the confident victory for the favourite.
Our prediction - Sabalenka to win with a handicap of (-3) games
In four consecutive matches Belarusian athlete had to play three sets. In each of three matches at Melbourne Sabalenka lost the first set. She had enough time for adaptation. We think that this time Sabalenka will secure a victory pretty quickly.
Our second bet is on total under 21 games
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