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Medvedev vs Nadal: prediction for the Mexican Open match
Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Nadal meet again in the semi-final of the Mexican Open. Can Medvedev avenge his defeat to Nadal in the Australian Open final?
Command Analysis
Daniil Medvedev
Russian FederationDaniil Medvedev is yet to drop a set at the current tournament. In the first round of the competition, he confidently outplayed Benoit Paire (6-3, 6-4), and then ousted Pablo Andujar (6-1, 6-2) in the second round. In the quarter-final match, the Russian defeated Yoshihito Nishioka (6-2, 6-3).
Whether Medvedev wins this tournament or not, he will became the World №1 in the ATP ranking, because Novak Djokovic dropped points after losing in his quarter-final match in Dubai.
Rafael Nadal
SpainRafael Nadal didn't have any problems on his way to the semi-final of the Mexican Open. He defeated all of his opponents in straight sets. In the first round, Rafa defeated Denis Kudla (6-3, 6-2), and after that the Spaniard ousted Stefan Kozlov (6-0, 6-3) and Tommy Paul (6-0, 7-6).
Nadal has played 13 matches in 2022 and hasn't suffered a single defeat. Before the tournament in Acapulco, he won the Melbourne Summer Set 1 and the Australian Open.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Medvedev played 2 tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
In Nadal's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Matches between Medvedev and Nadal are almost always long. In the Australian Open final, the tennis players spents five and a half hours on the court. We are predicting another long confrontation here.
Our prediction - total over 22.5 games
Nadal leads the head-to-head at 4-1. We think that Rafa has a better chance to win in the upcoming match as the athlete who prefers slow surfaces and knows how to use them to his advantage.
Second prediction - Nadal to win
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