Liontips
Fognini vs Rublev: prediction for the Serbia Open match
Fabio Fognini takes on Andrey Rublev in the Serbia Open semifinal on Saturday, April 23. Who will progress to the final? Here's our prediction.
Command Analysis
Fabio Fognini
ItalyFabio Fognini is having a good tournament. In his Belgrade opener, the Italian tennis player faced his compatriot Marco Cecchinato. Fognini lost the first set on a tie-breaker, but managed to turn the match around (6:7, 6:2, 6:2). In the following matches, the athlete looked more confident. He ousted Aljaž Bedene (6:2, 6:3) and defeated Oscar Otte in straight sets (7:5, 6:4).
Andrey Rublev
Russian FederationAndrey Rublev has looked great in 2022. He won the tournaments in Marseille and Dubai and reached the semifinals in Rotterdam and Indian Wells. However, he doesn't look as confident on clay as he does on hard courts. The Serbia Open is his second clay-court tournament this year. The Russian defeated Jiri Lehecka (4:6, 7:6, 6:2) and Taro Daniel (6:3, 6:3) in Belgrade.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5 games
No more than 9 games were played in first sets in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
СтавкаTie-break - no
There were no tie-breaks in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Tip and bets
Fognini leads the head-to-head at 5-4. He defeated Rublev in 2 of the 3 meetings on clay courts. This will be a tough match for the Russian, and we think that Fognini will be able to maintain the handicap of four games.
Our prediction — handicap (+4) to Fognini
The athletes played over 20 games in six out of nine matches, and all of their meetings on clay courts ended in three sets. We will take the over here.
Second bet — total over 20.5 games
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