Liontips
Thiem vs Berrettini: prediction for the Swiss Open match
Dominic Thiem takes on Matteo Berrettini in the Swiss Open semifinal on Saturday, July 23. Who will become the finalist of the tournament? Here's our prediction.
Command Analysis
Dominic Thiem
AustriaDominic Thiem has gained momentum - he won the last two matches in straight sets. First, the Austrian closed Federico Delbonis (7-6, 6-1), then he celebrated success over Juan Varillas (6-3, 6-4). At the previous tournament, Thiem finished all of his matches in three sets, and there has been a real improvement in his performance this week.
Matteo Berrettini
ItalyMatteo Berrettinisuffered a minor injury in June and got Covid-19 just before Wimbledon. He didn't play for over a month, and his return to the tour has been quite successful. In his first match in Gstaad, the Italian player defeated Richard Gasquet(6-4, 6-4). After that, he prevailed over Pedro Martinez Portero (3-6, 7-6, 6-1).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - yes
Thiem played tie-breaks in 5 of the last 6 matches.
Ставка2nd set: total under 9.5 games
In 4 of Thiem's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the second set.
Tip and bets
Thiem was excellent in his last matches, and we expect him to put up a good fight in the upcoming fixture. Berrettini is having a good season, but he didn't have playing practice for a month and made too many mistakes in Gstaad. For instance, he dropped a set against Portero. This probably will be quite a long fight, so take the over.
Our prediction — total over 22.5 games
Thiem leads the head-to-head - he won four matches against Berrettini and lost three. We think that the Austrian player has a good chance of progressing to the final.
Second prediction — handicap (+3) to Thiem
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