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Ostapenko vs Alexandrova: prediction for the WTA Seoul match
On September 25, Jelena Ostapenko will fight Ekaterina Alexandrova for the trophy of Seoul tournament. Who will get the title? The answer is in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Jelena Ostapenko
LatviaJelena Ostapenko already has one title of Seoul tournament. Latvian player won that competition in 2017. She also claimed one title in the current season, winning the Dubai tournament on February. Back then, she managed to beat another Russian player, Veronika Kudermetova, in the final match.
Jelena reached the final at Seoul, despite an underwhelming performance. In the first round she managed to beat a local player, Jeong Bo-young, only in three sets (6:4, 3:6, 7:6). In the second round she had another three-set match against Anastasia Gasanova (6:3, 5:7, 7:5). But in the quarter-final World No. 19 player finally secured a confident victory over Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (6:2, 6:1). In the semi-final Ostapenko didn't play a full match - her opponent, Emma Raducanu retired in the third set.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Russian FederationEkaterina Alexandrova also won one trophy in 2022 - she earned the trophy of Hertogenbosch grass tournament in June. After that success, Seoul is the first tournament, where Alexandrova surpassed the second round.
Alexandrova got an easy draw in South Korea. She was considered an overwhelming favourite in matches against Muhammad, Han Na-Ie, Lulu Sun and Tatiana Maria. In four matches Russian player lost only one set.
Trends
СтавкаTotal over 2,5 sets
In two previous head-to-head matches a set exchange took place
СтавкаSets performance: 1>2
In three of five latest matches of Ostapenko more games were played in the first set than in the second one
Tip and bets
Opponents are familiar with each other - they had six head-to-head fixtures. Ekaterina won four of these matches, one of them took place at Seoul tournament in 2018 (6:3, 6:2). Most recent match took place at clay tournament in Madrid this year. Russian player took another victory. We think that Alexandrova will win once again. Ekaterina wasted less energy than her opponent on the way to the final, it might be a key factor in the title match.
Our prediction - Alexandrova to win the match
In each of two latest head-to-head matches opponents exchanged sets. Both athletes are not consistent enough, so we are expecting a set exchange. A bet on total over should be a great choice.
Our second bet is on total over 21 games
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