Sabalenka vs Garcia: prediction for the WTA Finals match
On November 8, Aryna Sabalenka and Caroline Garcia will fight for the title of WTA Finals. French player has won two latest head-to-head matches. Should we expect another victory? The answer is in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Aryna Sabalenka

Prior to the start of WTA Finals, Aryna Sabalenka was not considered a favourite of the tournament by the bookmakers. Belarusian player was unsuccessful in latest tournaments. She managed to win just one match in San Diego and Guadalajara, but still managed to earn a spot in Fort Worth tournament, achieving an outstanding result in WTA Finals.
Aryna has won 2 of 3 group stage matches. She managed to beat Ons Jabeur at the start of the tournament (3:6, 7:6, 7:5). In the decisive match Sabalenka secured a straight set victory over Jessica Pegula (6:3, 7:5). Belarusian player suffered the only defeat to Maria Sakkari (2:6, 4:6).
In the semi-final Aryna had to face the World No. 1 player, Iga Swiatek. Sabalenka proved her ambitions in the first set, but played even better in the decisive set, leaving no chance to the opponent (6:2, 2:6, 6:1). Belarusian player put up an aggressive performance in that match. She made nine double faults, but had 12 aces.

Caroline Garcia

Prior to the start of WTA Finals Caroline Garcia changed her coach, so there were some concerns about her performance in the Fort Worth tournament. But French player proved the doubters wrong, reaching the final.
Garcia started the group stage with a victory over Cori Gauff (6:4, 6:3). Caroline stood no chance in a match against Iga Swiatek (3:6, 2:6), but earned a narrow victory in the decisive match against Daria Kasatkina (4:6, 6:1, 7:6).
In the semi-final Garcia had to play against Sakkari and was not considered a favourite. But she eventually secured a comfortable victory by a 6:3, 6:2 score. Caroline lost only one game at her serve, but an aggressive performance helped her to defeat the opponent.
Trends
СтавкаTotal over 2.5 sets
In three of four latest head-to-head matches opponents exchanged sets

Ставка2nd set: total over 9.5
This bet played in three latest head-to-head matches

Tip and bets
Opponents played four head-to-head matches. Score is currently tied at 2-2. Latest head-to-head match was held in 2019 and ended with a victory for Garciain three sets. Caroline had a more successful season, so she will have more chances to secure a WTA Finals title. We think that French player is underrated by the bookmakers.
Our prediction - Garcia to win the match
Previous head-to-head matches were tightly contested. In three of four latest head-to-head matches opponents played three head-to-head matches and we are expecting the same outcome today. With a title at stake, opponents won't leave the court without a fight.
Our second bet is on total over 22 games