Medvedev vs Rublev: prediction for the 2022 ATP Finals

On Monday, Daniil Medvedev will face off against Andrey Rublev in the group stage of the 2022 ATP Finals. What to expect from this match? Here's our prediction.

Command Analysis

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev didn't have a very successful year. The Russian athlete won only two trophies in 2022 - in August, he won the Los Cabos Open, and two weeks ago, he defeated Denis Shapovalov in the final of the Vienna Open. At the Paris Masters, Medvedev lost to Alex De Minaur in the round of 32, but that gave the World №5 a whole week to rest.

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev made it a bit further at the Paris Masters: in the third round, he was ousted by the eventual winner of the tournament Holger Rune. Rublev has good stats on indoor hard courts this year - 16 wins against 4 defeats. At the beginning of the tour, the athlete won the tournament in Marseille, and recently he triumphed in Gijon.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total under 9.5
In 3 of Rublev's last 5 matches, no more than 9 games were played in the first set.

СтавкаTie-break - no
Medvedev didn't play tie-breaks in the last 5 matches.

Tip and bets
Medvedev leads the head-to-head at 5-1. We think that he is more likely to win the upcoming duel. After all, Medvedev had made it to the final of this tournament in two consecutive years.
Our prediction - handicap (-4) to Medvedev
The previous meeting between the two Russians was quite long, but we expect this match to be over after two sets. Medvedev is in great shape and should start his campaign with a confident victory.
Second wager - total under 22 games