Nadal vs Ruud: prediction for the 2022 ATP Finals match
On Thursday, Rafael Nadal goes against Casper Ruud in the ATP Finals match. Who will be the winner in this pair? Here's our prediction.

Command Analysis

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal lost the first two group matches and now can't qualify for the playoffs. In his opener, the Spaniard yielded to Taylor Fritz (6-7, 1-6). After that, Nadal was defeated by Felix Auger-Aliassime (3-6, 4-6). Earlier this year, Nadal won four tournaments. He triumphed in Melbourne and Acapulco, and won his 21st and 22nd Grand Slams (Wimbledon and Roland Garros).

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud has qualified from his group and will play in the semifinals for the second consecutive year. In the first two matches, the Norwegian outplayed Felix Auger-Aliassime (7-6, 6-4) and Taylor Fritz (6-3, 4-6, 7-6). Ruud has won three trophies this season - he celebrated success at the tournaments in Geneva, Buenos Aires, and Gstaad. Moreover, he was the runner-up at Rolland Garros and the US Open.
Trends
Ставка1st set: total over 9.5 games
In 3 of Ruud's last 5 matches, more than 9 games were played in the first set.

СтавкаTie-break - yes
Nadal played 2 tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.

Tip and bets
There is no more pressure on Nadal - he can't reach the playoffs, while Ruud will play in the semifinals on Saturday. The Spaniard had defeated Ruud earlier this season, and we believe he will get the upper hand in the upcoming match, too.
Our prediction - Nadal to win
The athletes met in the final of Roland Garros in May. Nadal confidently closed the Norwegian in straight sets. We predict another quick win for Nadal.
Second prediction - total under 23 games