Liontips
Le Havre vs PSG: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.35
The new season of the French Ligue 1 starts with the match Le Havre - PSG. It is this pair that has the honor of setting the pace for the entire season. Naturally, all attention will be focused on the Parisians, who will play this match without the great Kylian Mbappe. This absence may be a chance for other players to become a symbol of the strongest club in France of the third millennium. We will be able to see and evaluate who has a chance to do this on August 16. Will the guests be able to confirm their status as favorites and which trending event should they choose for a bet? - the answer is in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Le Havre
FranceCurrent form
Le Havre finished last season just three points away from the relegation zone. Until the last round, it was unclear whether the team would be able to keep their place, but Metz's poor performance allowed the "sky-blues" to remain in the elite of French football. In all the matches of the national championship, they managed to win only seven times. The club did not receive any major reinforcements in the off-season, so many analysts are inclined to believe that the team will be dragging along at the bottom of the standings in the current competition.
On July 1, the appointment of a new head coach was announced. It was 38-year-old Didier Degarde, who is a product of Le Havre. After finishing his career, he worked with the youth team of Nice, then was an assistant coach of the main team, and in 2023 he was appointed acting head coach of the same team. But then a place became available in his native club and the management invited the young coach to raise the team together.
Under the new coach, Le Havre has played eight matches. No great achievements have been achieved yet (two wins, three draws and three defeats). They have only managed to win against teams of a lower playing class, so it is too early to judge how prepared the team is. The difference in goals scored and conceded in friendly games is simply enormous: 4-20.
The team leader is the 22-year-old Senegalese defender and team captain, Aruna Sangante. He is the one who directs all defensive actions on the field. Yes, you can't tell from friendly games that he does it well, but who knows how the team would play if he wasn't in the squad at all. The player's market value is estimated at 10 million euros, and he is still very young.
Disqualifications and injuries
20-year-old centre forward Andy Logby will be out of the match due to a torn cruciate ligament
Interesting trends for betting
- In five of their seven home defeats, Le Havre failed to even score
- "Le Havre" is not used to playing tough football. The players are always very cautious, which is why the average number of "mustards" is only 1.4 per match.
- Five of Le Havre's last six defeats to PSG have come by at least two goals
Estimated composition
Desma - Nego, Sangante, Operi, Lloris - Toure, Kekhta - Kuzyaev, Casimir, Diawara - Ngura
Paris Saint-Germain
FranceCurrent form
For the third season in a row, PSG won the French championship and also became the owner of the country's cup. Despite this, the main task - victory in the Champions League, has not yet been achieved. After the end of the season, one of the strongest (at the moment) football players in the world - Kylian Mbappe - left the "Parisians" . Without him, it will now be even more difficult to get to the desired trophy, but Luis Enrique's charges clearly do not intend to stop there.
The Red-Blues didn't strain themselves too much in the preseason. They traveled to Austria and Germany, where they played two friendly matches. Both games ended in a draw. First with Sturm (2:2), and then with Leipzig (1:1). The Russian goalkeeper Matvey Safonov played in goal against the Austrian team. He's a long way from Donaruma, and it's clear that you can't count on him being the main goalkeeper in the famous team.
After Mbappe's departure, it's hard to single out one. Perhaps Ousmane Dembele, who made nine assists last season, with three goals, will take on the role of leader. Maybe Luis Enrique will decide to try him as a replacement for the departed Mbappe. At least, he always looked good against the star Frenchman.
A few days ago it became known that American basketball player Kevin Durant will become a minority owner of PSG (i.e. he will have a small number of shares in the team). It is unclear why the club's management went for it. The "Parisians" are in perfect order financially and there is no particular benefit for the club in this.
PSG is not spending much in the off-season. So far, the only thing that stands out is the acquisition of 19-year-old defensive midfielder João Neves for 59 million euros. It is clear that the club's management has great hopes for the young talent, since they paid such a large sum for the Portuguese from Benfica.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lucas Hernandez will be out until December 1 with a torn cruciate ligament, while Kimpembe will also miss the match with a torn Achilles tendon.
Interesting trends for betting
- PSG have scored at least twice in their last 17 away wins
- In the last 20 away matches, the Parisians have lost only once
- The visitors have won their last three away matches against Le Havre by at least two goals
Estimated composition
Donnarumma - Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes - Vitinha, Neves, Zaire-Emery - Dembele, Barcola, Colo-Muani
Trends
Bet Exact score 0:2
The last face-to-face match ended with this score
6.40PSG to score in the second half
In the last five matches the bet came in
1.40Bet "Le Havre" will not score
In four of the last five matches the bet was successful
1.70PSG to win the second half
In the last five head-to-head meetings, PSG has won in the second 45 minutes
1.61Tip and bets
Only two friendly matches in which PSG failed to win should not mislead. The Parisians, despite Mbappe's departure, are still good and will still be the main contender for another championship in Ligue 1. From the very first round, the capital team will want to claim its rights to the undisputed leader and immediately take first place in the standings.
"Le Havre" was knocked out by "Bochum" with a score of 0:6 in the off-season, and the German club is not as formidable and powerful as the current champion of France. We believe that the hosts will not be able to do anything against the "Parisians" and will start the new season with a defeat.
Our betting tip is Asian handicap (-1.5) on PSG with odds of 2.12
Bet on total
PSG managed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five head-to-head matches against their upcoming opponent. We are inclined to believe that the Red-Blues will not concede in this match either, but they will not arrange a rout with a hockey score either.
Our prediction is total under 2.5 goals with odds of 2.35
Bet on corners
Based on all of the above, it is clear that we expect a colossal advantage for the current national champion, who will be able to win not only by score, but also by the number of serves from the corner flag.
Our prediction is Asian handicap (-2.5) corners for PSG with odds of 1.72
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