Liontips
Hong vs Sabalenka: US Open match prediction
Priscilla Hon successfully passed three rounds of qualification, but the Australian tennis player was clearly unlucky with the draw. In the first round on August 27, she will play against Aryna Sabalenka, who gained excellent form the day before the US Open and won the tournament in Cincinnati. Should we expect a rout from the favorite today and what reliable bets to choose? - our expert will tell you in the betting tip
Command Analysis
Priscilla Hon
AustraliaCurrent form
Hong has already managed to make a splash in the qualification. The thing is that the Australian tennis player was approaching the start of the US Open on a series of seven defeats, and she was playing in tournaments that were far from the highest ratings. However, in New York, Priscilla caught the courage and won three times. It should be noted that she crushed Snigur (6-1, 6-0), and in the decisive match for the right to play in the main team, she snatched a victory in three sets from Rakhimova (7-6, 6-7, 6-4).
Professional qualities
The tennis player is ranked 205th, and has never risen above 118th in her entire career. There is no point in talking about any truly strong qualities. Let us just note that Hong has clearly “joined” the local courts, and in three sets with Rakhimova, she hit 22 aces, but even there, Kamilla was not impressive on the reception.
Current indicators in the tour
Even taking into account that Hong mostly plays in less prestigious tournaments, her results are not impressive: 24 wins and 19 losses. However, it is characteristic that out of the total 24 victories, she won 20 on hard.
Interesting facts for betting
In three of her previous four matches, Hong played no more than nine games in the first set.
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
Sabalenka is approaching the start of the US Open in excellent shape and is rightfully one of the favorites for the title. The day before, Arina won the tournament in Cincinnati, beating Pegula in the final (6-3, 7-5). Moreover, all victories in those competitions were won by the world's second racket with an exact score of 2-0 in sets. Ahead of her is New York, where she must defend points for last year's final, but she is clearly betting on the title. There are prerequisites for this: in the last three starts here, Sabalenka played in the semifinals twice, and a year ago she lost to Cori Gauff in the decisive match.
Professional qualities
The name Sabalenka is associated with attacking aggressive tennis, the desire and ability to finish rallies in one or two hits using the power of her shots. At the same time, it should be noted that during her career, Arina has noticeably improved in the reliability of her game on the back line, and has even learned to be patient and restrain herself.
Current indicators in the tour
There have been some downturns this season, but overall Arina's results are solid - 39 wins in 50 matches played. On hard, she won the Australian Open at the beginning of the year, and on the way to the US Open, she won the "thousander" title in Cincinnati.
Interesting facts for betting
Sabalenka has won her last eight matches with a 2-0 score in sets.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2=1
This scenario has played out in two of Hong's last three matches.
4.10Bet 1st set: total over 8.5 games
This bet has been successful in Sabalenka's seven previous matches
2.02Tip and bets
Bookmakers have virtually no doubt that Sabalenka will win in a landslide, which is hard to argue with. There is a huge difference in class between the rivals, Arina is in excellent shape, clearly betting on winning her debut title in New York, which she was so close to a year ago. The world's second-ranked player has more difficult rivals ahead, it is important to save her strength.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-6.5) games with a coefficient of 1.62
Bet on total
When Sabalenka is in shape, it's hard to stop her. Now is the time, it's no coincidence that she's won her last eight matches with a 2-0 score in sets. We don't expect Hong to score more than four or five games today.
The second bet is total under 17.5 games for 1.74
Bet on the second set
Arina may have some difficulties at the start while she adapts to her opponent's playing style. In the second game, we expect a complete rout.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set under 8.5 with odds of 1.75
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