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Alexandrova vs. Sabalenka: US Open match prediction
With great difficulty, Ekaterina Alexandrova made it to the third round of the US Open, winning two matches in three sets, although her opponents were not the most difficult. Aryna Sabalenka developed her winning streak to seven matches and clearly does not plan to stop there. Should we expect a crushing victory from the favorite on August 30? - the answer is in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Russian FederationCurrent form
Aleksandrova clearly failed to get herself in top shape for the start of the US Open. While Ekaterina was lucky with the tournament grid, in two rounds she had opponents who were far from the strongest by the standards of the tour, Tomova and Jovic. The Russian tennis player only managed to beat each of them in three sets, and both times she entered the game poorly and lost the opening games.
Professional qualities
Ekaterina has a rich technical arsenal, has repeatedly defeated top opponents, including Iga Swiatek this season, but she lacks consistency. The tennis player likes to play ahead, so as not to give her opponents a chance to make decisions.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Alexandrova has played 42 matches on the tour, winning 22 of them. She failed the clay part of the season, but on hard she has statistics of 13 wins in 22 matches. In the world ranking, the Russian is in 31st place.
Interesting facts for betting
- In two matches in New York, Alexandrova won strong-willed victories
- In three of the four previous matches, Ekaterina played tie-breaks
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
Sabalenka was in excellent shape for the start of the US Open, having won the tournament in Cincinnati the day before. In New York, Arina easily beat Hong (6-3, 6-3) and Bronzetti (6-3, 6-1). In these matches, she managed to stump her opponents due to her aggressive play and powerful shots. Thus, against Bronzetti, the Belarusian tennis player never gave up her serve, and the Italian did not even have a single breakpoint.
Professional qualities
Sabalenka often relies on the power of her shots, serves, attacks at the first opportunity, and hits through. In the previous game with Bronzetti, in two not very long sets, Arina scored 24 winners with 17 unforced errors.
Current indicators in the tour
After the Cincinnati title, Sabalenka rose to second place in the world rankings. On hard, Arina has 25 wins in 31 matches. She won both titles this season on this surface – the Australian Open and Cincinnati.
Interesting facts for betting
- In two matches in New York, Arina made only one double fault
- Sabalenka is on a seven-match winning streak, all of which she has won with a 2-0 score in sets.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
Not once in six head-to-head matches did the tennis players exchange winning sets
1.33Rate Set Result: 1>2
This is the scenario that unfolded in the last two face-to-face meetings.
2.25Tip and bets
Alexandrova has beaten Arina three times in her career, and lost three times. We think that the Belarusian tennis player will come out on top in the head-to-head matches today. Sabalenka has gotten into the swing of things, and makes few unforced errors given her aggressive style of play. Ekaterina made it to the third round with great difficulty, and there has been no progress in her game throughout the entire hard court series.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-5.5) games with odds of 1.76
Bet on total
The tennis players have played each other six times and have never exchanged winning sets. In addition, Arina is currently on a streak of seven wins in a row without losing sets. A bet on the total under in the match suggests itself.
The second bet is total under 19.5 games for 1.83
Bet on the second set
Arina often "presses" her opponents in the second set, as was the case in her two matches in New York. We expect that today in the second set more than nine games were not played.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the second set with odds of 1.52
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