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Union vs St. Pauli: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds 2.46
In the opening round, Union managed to avoid defeat away to Mainz. St. Pauli "marked" their return to the Bundesliga with a home defeat to Heidenheim. In the second round, the opponents will play a face-to-face match in Berlin. Will the hosts take advantage of their experience and the support of their fans today? We suggest you read our betting tip and choose the exact bets for the game on August 30
Command Analysis
Union Berlin
GermanyCurrent form
Considering that away matches have been a problem for the Berliners for several seasons now, the 1:1 away draw with Mainz in the first round can definitely be considered a positive. Let us recall that last season Union only scored 10 points in the Bundesliga away from home, while they managed to take 23 points at home.
Regarding the match against Maitz, we note that the opponents did not please us with bright football, in the entire first half they created practically one dangerous moment between them. In the 74th minute, after a long-range strike by Laszlo Benes, Union opened the scoring, but could not withstand the serious pressure of the opponent and conceded at the end, and could have lost altogether, the same Jonathan Burkardt practically missed an empty net. In general, the Berliners certainly did not play well enough to win.
In the 1/32 finals of the German Cup, playing with a far from main line-up, Bo Svensson's charges, with their class, achieved a minimal 1:0 victory over Greifswald.
Disqualifications and injuries
Yannick Stein, Jerome Roussillon, Josip Djuranovic and Kevin Volland are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- In five of the last six matches, Union has committed more fouls than its opponents
- In two official matches of the season involving the Berliners, the exact score in the first half was 0:0
- Union have won four of their last five games on shots on target
Tentative line-up : Frédéric Rönnow – Danilo Duhi, Kevin Vogt, Diogo Leite – Christopher Trimmel, Rani Khedira, Robin Gosens – Luca Tusart, Andras Schafer – Jordan Cibacio, Benedikt Hollerbach.
St. Pauli
GermanyCurrent form
In the first round https://www.fcstpauli.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">, St. Pauli played against Heidenheim on their home field, were bookmakers' favorites, but suffered a 0:2 defeat. The hosts had the advantage in the game, had more possession of the ball, and threatened the opponent's goal more often. However, in the second half, the visitors realized their chances - they scored one goal in a counterattack, and the second after a corner. It is clear that Alexander Blessin's charges still need time to adapt to a new level for themselves.
In the German Cup, St. Pauli barely overcame the resistance of Hallescher thanks to a goal in extra time. Once again, one cannot help but note the not-so-great defensive performance – the opponent only made three shots on target, and two of them were accurate.
Disqualifications and injuries
Soren Ahlers is injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- St. Pauli have not scored in the first half in their previous three matches
- In the last two head-to-head matches the team lost to Union
- There have been no goals exchanged in three of St. Pauli's previous five matches
Probable lineup : Nikola Vasil – Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Karol Mets – Philippe Troy, Jackson Irvine, Lars Ritska – Robert Wagner, Connor Metcalfe – Johannes Eggestein, Morgan Guilavogui.
Trends
Union to score in the second half
In the last two matches, Union scored goals in the second 45 minutes
1.62Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the hosts' last five matches, goals were not scored in either half
1.72Bet Exact score 1:0
Union have won two of their last three home wins by a one-goal margin
6.50Union bet : total yellow cards over 1.5
In 15 of the last 23 matches in the championship, Union players received more than one yellow card
1.65Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has been successful in four of St. Pauli's last five matches
1.41Tip and bets
Union traditionally plays well on their home field and is rightfully the favorite in the bookmakers' line today. In the first round, the Berliners demonstrated a reliable game in defense, and were able to realize one of their moments. St. Pauli did not impress either in the cup game or in the opening round with Heidenheim, especially in terms of defense - small mistakes, and the opponents punished for this. We believe that the hosts are capable of taking three points today, the opponent has clearly not yet adapted to a new level for themselves.
Our prediction is Union's victory with odds of 2.02
Bet on total
Union is one of those teams that, in the event of a goal scored, do not go forward with all their might to increase the advantage, on the contrary, they try to play cautiously, relying on maintaining the score. In two official matches of the season with the participation of the Berliners, more than two goals were not scored and we do not see any prerequisites for this series of "lows" to be interrupted today.
The second bet is total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.96
Bet on the exact difference in the score
The hosts do not have a noticeable advantage in class over their opponents, and it is unlikely that they should expect a crushing victory. Moreover, since the start of preparation for the season, Union has only once won a friendly match with an advantage of more than two goals.
Prediction: Union wins by one or two goals with odds of 2.46
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