Avangard vs. Sibir: KHL Match Prediction

Russian Federation

Avangard Omsk

Russian Federation

KHL

4 September 06:30 UTC

Sibir Novosibirsk

Russian Federation

Avangard and Sibir will play their first match of the new KHL season on September 4. The Omsk team will play on their home ice, where they will try to take advantage of the home court advantage to the maximum. Both teams have undergone many changes during the off-season, which our experts will tell you about in the betting tip. We also offer the most up-to-date bets on the upcoming match

Avangard Omsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk Prediction and Betting Tips (04.09.2024)

Command Analysis

Avangard Omsk

Russian Federation

Current form

Avangard once again demonstrated excellent play last season and consistently earned points throughout the regular championship, thanks to which they came out on top in the standings. In the first round of the playoffs, Omsk met Lada and, one can say, they were lucky with their opponent, since Togliatti had not played at such a high level for a long time. As expected, the Hawks easily closed out their opponent with a series score of 4:1. Then, a much more dangerous competitor in the person of Lokomotiv stood in the way of the team and after a crushing defeat with a score of 0:7, the club changed its head coach for the third time in history right during the playoffs, but this did not help achieve the desired result.

During the off-season, the coaching staff identified one of the club's main problems and decided to seriously take on its correction. Avangard lost two key forwards due to injuries to Reed Boucher and Vladimir Tkachev and was able to find a worthy replacement for them quite quickly. Now, two outstanding hockey players, Linden Way and Stanislav Galiev, will play for the Omsk team. By the way, during the pre-season, they have already managed to prove themselves, scoring six points between them. In general, the pre-season was not entirely successful for the team, the "hawks" too often experienced difficulties even in matches with outsiders. However, it is not worth paying special attention to these indicators, since the coaching staff experimented with the roster and tried to play new lines and links.

Injuries and disqualifications

Berdin (injury), Bushe (injury), Tkachev (injury).

Interesting trends for betting

Last season, Avangard converted every fourth power play

Avangard showed excellent statistics on the implementation of the extra man and consistently punished opponents for aggressive play. It is worth noting that 25% of the implementation is one of the best indicators in the league.

Avangard allowed an average of 2.11 goals per game during the preseason

Avangard is famous not only for its attacking line, but also demonstrates a fairly strong defensive game, which was especially noticeable in friendly matches.

Estimated composition

Berdin, Proskuryakov, Koledov, Dits, Chmykhov, Chistyakov, Stepanov, Murylev, Boykov, Perevalov, Nikolishin, Filatyev, Igumnov, Manin, Cassels, Zlodeev, Verba, Makeev, Martynov, Belyaev, Yaremchuk, Kholodilin.

Sibir Novosibirsk

Russian Federation

Current form

At the start of last season, Sibir showed hope of making it to the playoffs, but during the regular championship they began to lose a large number of points and, due to long slumps, were able to take only tenth place in the table. However, it is worth noting the fact that the club was literally four points short of the coveted participation in the Gagarin Cup. The main reason for such a terrible performance was the low efficiency. On average, the Novosibirsk team scored 2.1 goals per match, which was one of the worst indicators in the league.

It is quite expected that in the offseason the coaching staff focused on strengthening the attacking line and quite successfully accomplished the task. Several excellent forwards joined the Siberians, in particular, it is worth noting Sergei Shirokov, Maxim Karpov and Valentin Pyanov, who are quite capable of strengthening the attacking line and giving it that very pressure that was lacking last season.

During the pre-season training, the "snowflakes" did not play many matches, so it is not worth judging their playing condition. It is still worth noting that Epanchintsev's charges won two out of four matches against Barys (4:0) and Avangard (2:1 OT), and also lost twice to Lokomotiv and Traktor with a total score of 0:5. Such performances indicate that the attacking line has not yet started playing properly.

Injuries and disqualifications

Ovchinnikov (injury).

Interesting trends for betting

Last season, Sibir scored an average of 2.26 goals per game

Sibir cannot boast a reliable defensive line, but the main problem remains its low attacking efficiency, which was the main reason for the large number of defeats of the club last season. Most importantly, it seems that the club was not able to correct this shortcoming, as in pre-season matches the Novosibirsk team scored only five goals.

Sibir received an average of nine minutes of penalty time per match

"Sibir" plays aggressively and often pays for it with a red card. Most likely, the club will not change its character this year and will continue to play on the edge of a foul.

Estimated composition

Krasotkin, Tabatchikov, Martynov, Murphy, Alanov, Gordeev, Akhiyarov, Zhukov, Belyakov, Efremov, Shirokov, Andreoff, Beck, Gogolev, Pyanov, Belousov, Korotkov, Yakovlev, Karpov, Sushko, Lyuzenkov, Dubakin.

Trends

Goal in each period bet - no

In four of the six head-to-head matches, the teams failed to score a goal in each period.

1.95

Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals

In three of the four head-to-head matches, the teams scored more than one goal in the first period.

2.21

Bet: Avangard to win in shots on target

Avangard outscored Sibir in four out of five head-to-head matches

1.61

Tip and bets

1.95Avangard's victory

Although Avangard has changed its roster, it will definitely continue to be one of the strongest teams in the East. Indeed, Omsk creates competition for all the clubs in the league from year to year, which cannot be said about Sibir with its problems. Novosibirsk tried to strengthen the roster with forwards, but so far this has not brought results, judging by the pre-season matches. We must not forget about another drawback, the defensive line of the "snowflakes" also cannot boast of statistics, which means that the "hawks" with their powerful attack line are able to confidently achieve the desired result in the upcoming match, and home walls and the support of fans will help them with this. Bookmakers give attractive odds for the victory of Omsk, which we suggest taking advantage of by betting in their favor.

Our prediction is Avangard's victory at 1.95

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1.68total under five goals

Bet on total

So far, both teams cannot boast of high attacking efficiency and they still have to find their form in the new season. Avangard is unlikely to rush headlong into attack, and Sibir has not been distinguished by successful play of forwards, which means that it is definitely not worth expecting a large number of goals scored in the upcoming match, especially considering that the regular championship has just begun.

Betting Tip - total under five goals for 1.68

Bet on the outcome of the first period

As we have already noted, Avangard is superior to its opponent in class and will also be playing on its home arena. This means that Omsk should play first number and create serious pressure on Sibir, which will allow them to earn an early advantage in the starting segment.

Prediction - Avangard wins in the first period with a handicap of (0) for 1.60

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