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Navarro vs. Sabalenka: US Open match prediction
In New York on September 6, Emma Navarro and Aryna Sabalenka will determine the first finalist of the US Open. The tennis players have played twice this year and exchanged victories. Emma was stronger on hard in Indian Wells, Aryna took revenge on clay at Roland Garros. Who will win today and what reliable bets to choose? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip
Command Analysis
Emma Navarro
USACurrent form
Navarro played solidly in the pre-Slam hard tournaments, making semi-finals in Toronto and Monterrey. In New York, the American tennis player reached the semi-finals for the first time in her career, which was a huge success for her and emphasized her tangible progress. In the last three matches of the tournament, Emma overcame the resistance of tough opponents Kostyuk, Gauff and Badosa. In these matches, she played reliably on the back line, worked clearly on the back line, and forced her opponents to make mistakes. For comparison: in the quarter-finals, Badosa made 35 unforced errors, Navarro had only 15.
Professional qualities
Navarro is a versatile tennis player, capable of working, first of all, reliably on the back line. Due to her high speed, she gets the heaviest balls. At the same time, Emma can go on the attack at any moment and "finish off" her opponent.
Current indicators in the tour
Emma is having the best season of her career, is currently ranked 12th in the world and is making her debut in the top 10 after the US Open. The American has achieved her greatest success on hard courts, where she has a solid 30 wins in 40 matches. At the same time, since the beginning of the year, Navarro has won only one title - back in January in Hobart at a not very prestigious tournament.
Interesting facts for betting
- In her previous three matches in New York, Navarro had not committed more than three double faults.
- More than nine games have been played in the second set in Emma's last three matches
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
Sabalenka confirms her status as one of the main favorites of the US Open and now, after Swiatek's elimination, the Belarusian tennis player has excellent chances to win the trophy in New York for the first time in her career. Arina has gained impressive momentum, taking into account the Cincinnati title, she has won 10 matches in a row. At the US Open, in five matches, she had some difficulties only in the third round with Alexandrova, where she did not immediately get into the game and gave up the first set (2-6, 6-1, 6-2). In the quarterfinals, Sabalenka did not leave a single chance to the Olympic champion Zheng Jingwen (6-1, 6-2).
Professional qualities
The Belarusian tennis player has noticeably improved her skills on the back line and is quite capable of keeping the ball in play for quite a long time when exchanging blows. At the same time, the basis of Arina's successful game is still her attack. She has a powerful forehand, which is faster than many men on the tour, plus a strong serve.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Sabalenka has won two titles, both on hard courts – at the Australian Open and in Cincinnati. In total, Arina has won 28 out of 34 matches on hard courts. At the moment, the world's second racket is on a 10-win streak.
Interesting facts for betting
- In her last three matches, Sabalenka has won at least 69% of points on her first serve
- Arina has won nine of her last ten victories with a precise score of 2-0 in sets.
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
Only one of Sabalenka's previous 13 matches went to three sets
1.31Rate Set Result: 2>1
This is the scenario that played out in Navarro's two previous matches.
2.21Tip and bets
Navarro should not be underestimated, given her recent victories over Gauff and Badosa. However, in those matches, the opponents made a lot of mistakes, Sabalenka is now at the peak of her form, does not allow herself a huge number of unforced errors. At the same time, Arina plays attacking tennis and is able to break through Emma's defense without problems. We believe that there is no need to expect a sensation today, especially since the experience of playing at this level is on the side of the Belarusian tennis player.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-4) games with odds of 1.69
Bet on total
Sabalenka is currently on a 10-game winning streak, with nine of those wins coming with a 2-0 score in sets. We don't think Emma can get more than five or six games today.
The second bet is total under 21 games for 1.93
Bet on the second set
The tennis players played each other twice and in each of the matches in the second set, more than nine games were not played. We believe that Arina will confidently "squeeze" her opponent today in this game segment.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set under 9.5 with odds of 1.51
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