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Severstal vs. Torpedo: KHL Match Prediction
In the only meeting in the KHL on September 18, Cherepovets Severstal will continue its home series with a match against Nizhny Novgorod Torpedo. The Steelworkers had an unsuccessful start on home ice, but won against CSKA and Metallurg in the last two matches. The Deer are heading to the Vologda Region after an unpleasant defeat in Sochi against one of the championship outsiders. Will Igor Larionov's charges be able to put up a fight? Or will the hosts again succeed and consolidate their position as leaders of the Western Conference? Read our betting tip
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal alternated victories and defeats, but in the last game they were able to break this trend. Andrey Kozyrev's team started the current home series with a defeat to Sibir (2:5), but then achieved success in matches against CSKA (4:2) and Metallurg (5:2). The club from the Vologda Region has eight points in six matches and deserved third place in the Western Conference table.
The Steelers have been playing well in attack at the start of the new season. Adam Liszka's team has scored 19 accurate shots, which is 3.16 goals on average per 60 minutes. Despite the excellent attacking performance, the "black and yellow" have looked very weak in uneven compositions. Having received 18 attempts to convert the extra man, the Cherepovets team scored only one goal, while they themselves have conceded four goals, breaking the rules 17 times.
Injuries and disqualifications
The Cherepovets team will play with its optimal lineup.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal allows only 25 shots on goal per game on average
The hosts play well in the neutral zone and have a lot of puck possession, not allowing their opponents to bother their goalies too often.
- Adam Liszka's team only makes five hits per game
The "black and yellow" try to avoid physical struggles and handle the puck skillfully.
Torpedo
Russian FederationCurrent form
Torpedo is in a fever at the start of the new regular season. Igor Larionov's team began the current away trip with a strong-willed victory in Moscow over the local CSKA (4:3, OT), but then lost to Spartak (2:4) and Sochi (3:5). The Nizhny Novgorod team stopped scoring points and rolled back to the eighth position in the West, remaining with five points in the piggy bank. Despite their good performance, the "deer" have a negative difference in goals scored and conceded at the moment - 14:19.
Vyacheslav Voynov and his partners have not yet been able to improve their defense. On average, Torpedo misses 19 goals per game, and for three games in a row, the red light behind their goal has been on at least three times. The Volga team also has problems with their attack. The Nizhny Novgorod club converted only one of their opponents' penalties, receiving a total of 19 chances to score. Torpedo's top scorer is Igor Larionov, who has scored five points (1+4).
Injuries and disqualifications
Andrei Belevich, Anton Berlev and Mikhail Orlov will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Torpedo allows more than 36 shots on goal on average per game
The visiting goalkeepers have a hard time in every match, as the opponents shoot at the goal more than once every two minutes.
- The "Deer" are sent off three times per match
The Volga team conceded four goals in five games, breaking the rules 19 times.
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In five out of six games involving Severstal, at least two goals were scored in the second periods
1.60Bet 1st period: Severstal with handicap (0)
Torpedo lost the first period in three previous games
1.75Tip and bets
Severstal has gained great momentum and is playing great offensively on its home ice. In Cherepovets, Andrei Kozyrev's team scored 11 goals in three games and beat very strong teams from Moscow and Magnitogorsk. The Steelworkers rarely fail in defense, and goalies Konstantin Shostak and Alexander Samoilov are showing decent play on the home team's last line.
Torpedo lacks stability and reliability. Igor Larionov's charges started the away game well and even beat CSKA, but then looked terrible in defense in matches against Spartak and Sochi. The visitors do not have the same ease in attack, so on average they score only a little more than two goals per match. We do not think that the "deer" will be able to impose their game on the Cherepovets team, and even more so, will be able to win in regular time. We suggest betting on the victory of the first with insurance on a zero handicap.
Betting Tip - Severstal win with Asian handicap (0) for 1.75
Bet on individual total
Severstal is in good shape and has scored a lot in recent games. Torpedo allows a lot of shots on its goal, and the visiting goalkeepers are not helping Vyacheslav Voynov's team. We believe that the hosts will start the match in their usual style and will score at least three accurate shots in the meeting with the Nizhny Novgorod team.
We take Severstal's individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.68
Total Bet
Both teams play open and productive hockey. Torpedo is weak in defense for now, but the Deer are ready to turn on at any moment and the visiting team has someone to score. There is no need to say much about Severstal. Andrey Kozyrev's charges have scored nine goals in the two previous matches and are unlikely to stop. Let's not make things up and take the total over with insurance.
We bet on a total of more than five goals with a coefficient of 1.62
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