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Bellucci vs Hijikata: Match Preview for ATP Tokyo
On September 24, Bellucci and Hidjikata will face off in the final qualifying round of the tournament in Tokyo. Both players endured grueling three-set matches on Monday. Bellucci is viewed as the favorite in this matchup, but is his victory truly a foregone conclusion? Which of these tennis players will continue their journey in the Tokyo tournament? A detailed match analysis and betting odds can be found in our prediction.
Command Analysis
Mattia Bellucci
ItalyCurrent Form
Bellucci reached the finals of the Tokyo qualifier after a determined victory over Alexander Müller, finishing with scores of 4-6, 6-2, 7-6. Mattia delivered 14 aces during the match against the French player, converted four break points, and faced three games lost on his serve. This marks his 23rd win on hard courts this season against 13 losses.
Professional Qualities
Bellucci is an unconventional Italian tennis player who excels on hard courts rather than clay. As a left-hander, he moves well along the baseline and thrives in extended rallies.
Current Tour Performance
Bellucci is having a solid season, bringing him closer to breaking into the top 100 of the world rankings. He currently sits at 103rd place.
Interesting Betting Insights
In his last 15 matches, Bellucci has recorded only three losses.
Rinky Hijikata
AustraliaCurrent Form
Hijikata triumphed over Alexander Vukic with a score of 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 in the first round of qualifying at the event in Tokyo. In this match against his fellow countryman, he recorded eight aces, converted two break points, and dropped two games on his serve. For the Australian player, this marked his 18th victory on outdoor hard courts this season, alongside 17 defeats.
Professional Qualities
Hijikata is an all-court player excelling on both hard and clay surfaces. He even boasts a title from a clay Challenger event. His strong attributes include impressive speed, a formidable backhand especially effective on cross-court attacks, and a reliable first serve. However, his main weakness lies in the inconsistency of his second serve, which often leads to a high number of double faults.
Current Tour Statistics
Hijikata is ranked 76th in the world rankings. So far this season, he has yet to advance past the quarterfinals in any tournament, with his last quarterfinal appearance occurring last week in Hangzhou.
Interesting Betting Facts
In his last five matches, Hijikata participated in six tiebreaks.
Trends
Bet Set Performance: 1>2
In 3 of the last 5 matches, Bellucci's matches have unfolded in this manner
2.22Bet Will there be a tiebreaker - yes
This bet has been successful in 3 of Hidjikata's previous 5 matches
2.42Tip and bets
Bellucci has performed slightly better on outdoor hard courts this season compared to Hidžić. In the past two months, Mattia has secured victories against McDonald, Wawrinka, and Karatsev on this surface. We expect to see the Italian in the main draw of the tournament in Tokyo.
Our prediction is a Bellucci win with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 2.02
Total Bet
Belucci is the favorite in this matchup according to bookmakers. We agree with their assessment, believing the Italian will dominate the match and confidently defeat Hijikata in two sets.
Our second prediction is a total of under 22 games with odds of 1.89
First Set Bet
In three of Hijikata's last five matches, over 9.5 games were played in the first set. We anticipate that the upcoming match between Rinky and Belucci will also start with a high-scoring first set.
Our prediction is over 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.78
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