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Bayern vs Bayer: Prediction and Betting Odds at 2.42
In the key match of the fifth round of the Bundesliga on September 28, Bayern Munich will face Bayer Leverkusen. In their last encounter at home, the Leverkusen side secured a convincing 3-0 victory over the Munich team. However, Bayern has recently found its form, displaying strong attacking play, and will certainly be aiming for revenge on home turf. Here is our prediction for the upcoming match.
Command Analysis
Bayern Munich
GermanyCurrent Form
Bayern Munich, following a less than stellar previous season, appointed the young Vincent Kompany as head coach. He previously managed Burnley. There were concerns regarding his experience managing a top club, but so far, the results couldn't be better. The Munich squad has played six official matches, achieving victory in all of them. Furthermore, their attack has been explosive recently, scoring six goals against Holstein (6:1), followed by a thrilling 9:2 triumph over Dinamo Zagreb, and in the latest Bundesliga match, they overwhelmed Werder with five unanswered goals.
With 12 points, Bayern has quickly taken the lead in the league standings, signaling their intentions to reclaim the title lost last season. They currently hold a three-point advantage over their closest rivals. Notably, Bayern has recorded their best start in Bundesliga history, matching their 2016/2017 season goal difference, while scoring two goals more (16:3).
Michael Olise has seamlessly integrated into the team's strategy, registering five goals and two assists in his last three matches, with Kompany deploying him in various positions.
Injuries and Suspensions
Ito, Stanisic, and Boe will not play today due to injuries. The participation of Tel is uncertain.
Notable Betting Trends
- In their last six Bundesliga matches, Bayern has scored at least two goals
- At home, Bayern has won 14 out of their last 16 league games
- In their previous four matches, the Munich team received more yellow cards than their opponents
Projected Lineup: Neuer – Laimer, Kim, Upamecano, Davies – Kimmich, Pavlovic – Olise, Musiala, Gnabry – Kane.
Bayer Leverkusen
GermanyCurrent Form
Similar to last season, Bayer has been delivering impressive comebacks. In their latest clash against Wolfsburg, Xabi Alonso's team came back from behind twice, securing the winning goal in added time with a thrilling score of 4-3. This entertaining style excites fans but demands considerable energy and effort from the players.
After four rounds, the 'pharmaceuticals' sit in second place with nine points, edging out Freiburg and Eintracht on tie-breakers. The only defeat came at the hands of Leipzig, losing 3-2. It's worth noting Bayer's defensive struggles, having conceded nine goals. In contrast, second-to-last place St. Pauli has only let in six.
Currently, Bayer compensates for defensive lapses with a potent attack. A key player to highlight is Victor Boniface, who scored the match-winning goals in the last two matches.
Disciplinary Issues and Injuries
Due to injuries, Mashovich, Ordets, Tolba, Bernardo, and Miesi will not participate today.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In their last eight Bundesliga matches, Bayer scored at least two goals each time
- In the last five games, the Leverkusen side has exchanged goals with their opponents
- Bayer recorded more corner kicks than opponents in 16 of their last 17 matches
Expected Lineup: Gradiatzki – Tapsoba, Tah, Hincapié – Frimpong, Xhaka, Andrich, Grimaldo – Terye, Wirtz – Boniface.
Trends
Bet «Bayer» to score in the second half
In the last three head-to-head matches, «Bayer» scored goals in the second 45 minutes
1.67Bet Bayern to win on offsides
In three of the last four matches, «Bayer» lost on offsides
2.40Bet Exact score 3:1
«Bayern» has won all official matches since the start of the season
11.00Bet Bayern to win on yellow cards
In the last four matches, «Bayern» players received more yellow cards than their opponents
2.60Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
This bet succeeded in three of the last five head-to-head matches
1.90Tip and bets
Last season, Bayer excelled in direct matches against Bayern, securing a draw and a win. While it cannot be said that Jabi Alonso's team is in a serious decline, their defensive game raises significant concerns. Moreover, their fierce rivals have found remarkable form, with their attack operating at a prime level reminiscent of their best years. Undoubtedly, playing at home, the Munich side will capitalize on any mistakes made by their opponents. Should a high-scoring shootout occur, under the current circumstances, Kompany's team is capable of outscoring their rivals.
Our prediction is a victory for Bayern at odds of 1.76
Total Goals Bet
In the last four encounters, fewer than three goals have never been scored. Bayer is currently focusing on compensating for their defensive shortcomings with an attacking style of play. Bayern has found their rhythm and consistently breaks through any defense. Expect plenty of goals in today's match.
Our second bet is on over 3.5 total goals with odds of 1.82.
Correct Score Bet
We don't believe Bayer will completely falter today, as they possess considerable attacking potential. In such a crucial match, it’s unlikely Bayern will aim for a ruthless victory at all costs.
Our prediction is a Bayern victory by one or two goals, with odds of 2.42.
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