Liontips
Bournemouth vs Southampton: Predictions and Betting Odds at 2.65
Bournemouth has faced two consecutive defeats in the Premier League without scoring a single goal. Southampton recently earned their first point of the season and will be eager to build on that momentum. How will their match on September 30 play out, and what are the best betting options? Find the answers in our detailed preview.
Command Analysis
AFC Bournemouth
EnglandCurrent Form
In the opening matches of the new season, Bournemouth has drawn 1:1 against both Nottingham Forest and Newcastle. They secured their first victory in the third round, defeating Everton 3:2 away. However, challenges arose when facing tougher opponents, leading to subsequent defeats.
Under the management of Andoni Iraola, Bournemouth struggled to breach Chelsea's defense, losing 0:1, and faced a 0:2 defeat against Liverpool. The matches varied in performance; against the "Blues," they missed several scoring opportunities. Yet against the "Reds," they faced difficulties in creating chances, fortunate that their opponent only scored twice. Currently, Bournemouth sits in a modest 13th place in the standings with five points.
It's worth noting that in the League Cup, Bournemouth also fell short against West Ham, losing 0:1. Once again, their inability to convert chances was evident, highlighting a clear struggle in attack with only five goals scored this season. All three of their defeats in official matches have come without them scoring.
Injuries and Suspensions
Today, Adams will miss the match due to injury.
Betting Trends
- In three defeats this season, Bournemouth has failed to score
- In six of their last seven home matches in the Premier League, Bournemouth did not score more than two goals
- Bournemouth conceded the first goal in six of their last seven Premier League games
Projected Lineup: Arrizabalaga – Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez – Cook, Christie – Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier – Evanilson.
Southampton
EnglandCurrent Form
Southampton's return to the Premier League has not been successful. It wasn't until the fifth round that the Saints earned their first point in the league, securing a draw against Ipswich at home. They had a chance to claim three points after scoring early but conceded in stoppage time.
There are clear issues with Russell Martin's squad in attack, with only two goals scored. The team often fails to create even dangerous chances, making it hard to argue for bad luck or finishing problems. Against Ipswich, they managed only three shots on target. In the league standings, Southampton sits in 19th place in the relegation zone.
Currently, Southampton is brightening the hopes of its fans in the League Cup, having progressed through two rounds. They first defeated Cardiff away in a high-scoring match 5-3. In the next round, they overcame Everton only in the penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw in regular time.
Injuries and Suspensions
Due to injuries, Bazunu, Smallbone, and Sulemana will miss today’s match. Stevens is unavailable due to suspension.
Betting Trends to Note
- In seven of their last ten Premier League matches, Southampton has conceded at least two goals
- In their last six away matches against Bournemouth, the Saints have lost
- Southampton has lost the corner count in three of their last four matches
Projected Lineup: Ramsdale – Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Taylor – Lallana, Downs, Fernandez – Dibling, Archer, Fraser.
Trends
Bet Bournemouth to win based on shots on target
In their last four matches, Southampton has recorded fewer shots on target than their opponents
1.45Bet Goals in both halves – no
In their last four matches, Bournemouth has not scored in both halves
1.89Bet Exact score 1:1
The last two matches of Southampton ended with this score
7.50Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet has succeeded in two of the last three head-to-head matches
1.67Tip and bets
In the upcoming match, bookmakers expect low scoring. It's unlikely the teams will produce many goals today. This season, Bournemouth has struggled offensively, often failing to convert chances. Their only standout performance came against Everton, where they scored five goals. Southampton has been even poorer in attack, scoring just two goals in five matches, displaying a very straightforward style of play. We recommend a bet on the total goals being under.
Our prediction is under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.67
Match Outcome Bet
Bournemouth has not started the season with the same vibrant and fast-paced play that characterized their performance in the latter half of last season. Southampton has shown solid defensive skills, avoiding any major lapses. We believe the visitors have a good chance of securing at least one point today.
Our second bet is for Southampton to win with an Asian handicap (+1) at odds of 1.82.
First Half Bet
We also recommend focusing on the first half. In three of Bournemouth's last five matches, the score was level at halftime. The likelihood of a similar outcome today is high, as both teams are not expected to take unnecessary risks early in the game.
Our prediction is for a draw in the first half with odds of 2.65.
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