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Arsenal vs PSG: Predictions and Betting Odds at 2.20
The highlight of Tuesday, October 1, in the Champions League will be the match between Arsenal and PSG. Both teams have remained unbeaten across all competitions this season. However, the Parisians face several injury concerns as Luis Enrique has excluded Ousmane Dembélé from the matchday squad following a dispute in the previous game. Will the hosts be able to secure three points today? Find the answer in our prediction. Additionally, renowned analyst Roman Pavlyuchenko shares his betting insights for the game.
Command Analysis
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent Form
Arsenal remains unbeaten since the start of the season, having played eight official matches. In the Premier League, the Gunners have accumulated 14 points after six rounds, placing them third, just one point behind the leaders Liverpool. In their latest outing, the London side secured a home victory against Leicester with a score of 4-2. The scoreline can be misleading as the match was level at 2-2 until the 94th minute when Arsenal clinched the win, aided by an own goal from the opponent.
In the Champions League, under Mikel Arteta's guidance, Arsenal played to a goalless draw against Atalanta in their opening match. The opponent executed a solid tactical performance, limiting the Gunners to just two shots on target.
Goalkeeper David Raya has been a significant contributor to the team's performance. The Spaniard often shines in crucial matches, energizing his teammates. Notably, he made nine saves in a recent 2-2 draw against Manchester City in the league.
Injuries and Suspensions
Arsenal's injury list includes Ødegaard, Zinchenko, Merino, Tierney, and Tomiyasu.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In their last five Champions League home matches, Arsenal has not lost in regulation time, achieving four wins and one draw.
- In six of the last eight home matches in the Champions League featuring Arsenal, at least four goals were scored.
- At home, Arsenal has led at halftime in their last five encounters across all competitions.
Projected Lineup: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Magalhães, Calafiori – Saka, Partey, Rice, Martinelli – Havertz, Trossard.
Paris Saint-Germain
FranceCurrent Form
PSG, alongside their upcoming opponent, remains undefeated this season. The Parisians have recorded six victories in seven official matches. Only Reims managed to steal points from the French giants at home in Ligue 1, resulting in a 1:1 draw. In their latest domestic match, Luis Enrique's team defeated Rennes at home 3:1, leading the league table with 16 points, with Monaco trailing only on tie-breaking criteria.
In the opening round of the Champions League, PSG hosted Girona. The Parisians dominated, winning the shot count 26-3, but only managed to score a single goal in the dying moments, which came from an own goal by the opponent.
It is important to note that PSG is facing several squad issues. Aside from the injured players, Ousmane Dembélé will not participate today. The player had a falling out with the coach following the match against Rennes, leading to Luis Enrique sanctioning him with a suspension for the Champions League match in London. There is also uncertainty regarding who will be in goal. Donnarumma trained with the main group just before the match against Rennes, but Matvey Safonov started in goal. It’s possible the Italian will regain fitness and take the position in London.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Injuries will keep Hernandez, Asensio, Kimpembe, Vitinha, Ramos, and Douré out of today's match. Dembélé will also miss the game due to the coach's decision.
Notable Betting Trends
- In five of their last seven away matches in the Champions League, PSG has not won
- In five of the past six away matches in the Champions League, both teams have scored
- The Parisians have scored in 11 consecutive matches
Projected Lineup: Safonov – Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pancho, Beraldo – Zaire-Emery, Neves, Fabian – Lee, Kolo Muani, Barcola.
Trends
Bet PSG to win by corners
In their last four matches PSG recorded more corners than their opponents
3.55Bet Goals in both halves - yes
In four of the last five matches PSG scored in both halves
1.48Bet Exact score 3:1
Four of Arsenal's last six victories were by a two-goal margin
12.50Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
This bet has been successful in the last three home matches
2.55Tip and bets
Paris Saint-Germain has been inconsistent since the start of the season, despite remaining unbeaten. Adding to their woes, the team struggles with injuries, including the absence of Dembélé. Their away matches in the Champions League have not gone well, as they have failed to secure victory in five of their last seven games. Arsenal played too cautiously in their opening match against Atalanta, but they have recently adopted a more aggressive attacking style, leading to better results. Considering their home advantage, we believe the Gunners are currently stronger than PSG.
Our prediction is an Arsenal victory at odds of 1.73
Total Goals Bet
In recent matches, Arsenal has showcased a bold attacking style, creating numerous opportunities while also allowing opponents chances at their goal. Despite the absence of Dembélé, PSG has plenty of players ready to make an impact in offense. We believe there’s a high likelihood of a goal exchange today.
The second bet is both teams to score with odds of 1.78.
Exact Score Difference Bet
It’s clear that there’s no significant difference in class between the teams that would suggest a lopsided victory. The London side has secured five victories out of their last six matches by a margin of one or two goals, and we anticipate the same outcome today.
Prediction – Arsenal to win by a margin of one to two goals at odds of 2.20.
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