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Badosa vs Pegula: WTA Beijing Match Prediction
Paula Badosa has faced Jessica Pegula three times, suffering defeat in each match. Their most recent encounter took place in the Cincinnati semifinals, where the Spanish player managed to win just one set against Jessica. As they prepare for their next showdown on October 1, the question remains: how will this matchup unfold and what precise bets should you consider? Find answers in our detailed prediction.
Command Analysis
Paula Badosa
SpainCurrent Form
In China, Badosa continues her strong performances following the North American hard court series. Paula confidently defeated Tomova in her opening match (6-3, 6-2). The next match against Shramkova proved more challenging (7-5, 7-5), but the Spaniard secured the victory thanks to her precise break point execution, advancing to the round of 16.
Professional Qualities
Badosa aims to raise the tempo during rallies, forcing her opponents into errors or finishing points with sharp strokes. She can maintain a solid baseline game for extended periods, complemented by a powerful first serve.
Current Tour Performance
After struggling with health issues in the early part of the season, Badosa has found her rhythm, climbing to 19th in the world rankings, with expectations for improvement following her performance in Beijing. On outdoor hard courts, she has recorded 21 victories out of 30 matches played this year.
Interesting Betting Insights
- In 10 of her last 11 winning matches, Badosa secured victories with a precise 2-0 set score.
- In three of Paula's last four matches, no more than nine games were played in the opening set.
Jessica Pegula
USACurrent Form
Pegula, like her opponent today, has performed well on hard courts in North America, claiming the title in Toronto and reaching the finals in Cincinnati and the US Open. In Beijing, Jessica aims to build on her achievements. She began the tournament with a straight-sets victory over Parry (6-1, 7-6), followed by a tough match where she triumphed over Kudermetova (6-7, 6-1, 6-2), adapting her game effectively during the contest.
Professional Skills
Jessica plays with an aggressive style, despite lacking exceptional physical attributes. She creates attacking opportunities during rallies, drives deep shots, and can change the rhythm of the game. It is also notable that Pegula excels at adjusting to her opponents' playing styles.
Current Tour Statistics
Following her recent successes, Pegula has climbed to third place in the world rankings, marking her career best. She has achieved most of her victories on hard courts, although she also secured a title on grass in Berlin. This season, the American boasts 26 wins against seven losses on hard surfaces.
Betting Insights
- In both matches played in Beijing involving Pegula, tiebreaks occurred
- In four of her last five matches, over nine games were played in the second set
Trends
Bet Tiebreak in Match – Yes
Tiebreak occurred in two of Pegula's matches in Beijing
3.10Bet Set Outcomes: 1>2
This occurred in three out of the last five matches of Badosa
2.24Tip and bets
Both players have gained impressive momentum, showcasing strong performances in the US and continuing their success in Beijing. For American player Pegula, Badosa has proven to be a favorable opponent, with Pegula winning all their previous encounters, including a recent match in Cincinnati. We believe Pegula will once again disappoint Badosa.
Our prediction is a victory for Pegula with odds of 1.74
Total Bet
In their latest meeting, the players contested three sets, which we may see again today. Additionally, Jessica has already played two tiebreaks on local courts, while Paula recently had a lengthy match against Shramkova.
Second bet – over 21 games at 1.73
First Set Bet
In the previous two head-to-head matches, the first set was not very competitive, with fewer than ten games played. We believe that today the main action on the court will unfold after the opening set.
Prediction – under 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.79
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