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Sturm Graz vs Club Brugge: Predictions and Betting Odds at 3.50
In the opening round of the Champions League, Sturm and Brugge both faced defeats and now aim to secure their first points in the tournament on October 2. Who stands a better chance of winning today and what bets should be placed? Our analysis provides the answers. Will the home advantage play a crucial role for the Austrians today?
Command Analysis
Sturm Graz
AustriaCurrent Form
In the opening round, Sturm played away against Brest and suffered a 1-2 defeat. The first half was evenly matched with each team scoring. In the second half, the French side gained a significant advantage, capitalizing on one of their chances to secure a well-deserved victory. Additionally, defender Lavale received a second yellow card late in the match, resulting in his suspension for the upcoming game.
In the Austrian Bundesliga, Christian Ilzer's team leads the league table after eight matches with 16 points. In their latest game, Sturm triumphed over Linz with a score of 2-1 away.
Notably, matches involving the Graz team often yield high scores. The team plays an aggressive attacking style but also concedes many chances to their opponents. In their last seven matches, there was only one instance where both teams did not score.
Injuries and Suspensions
Borkovic, Vutrich, and Stankovic are sidelined due to injuries and will not be available today. Lavale is serving a suspension.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In six of their last eight Champions League matches, Sturm has conceded at least two goals
- In seven of their last nine home games, Sturm has emerged victorious
- Sturm players committed more fouls than their opponents in five of the last six matches
Projected Lineup: Scherpen – Gazibegovic, Aivu, Vutrich, Karic – Hirlander, Yalkuye, Kiteishvili, Horvat – Bowling, Bierit.
Club Brugge
BelgiumCurrent Form
At the start of the Champions League, Brugge faced last year's finalist Borussia Dortmund. The Belgian side held a goalless draw until the 76th minute but ultimately succumbed to the superior opponent, losing 0-3. It's worth noting that coach Niki Haeck's team had their chances and recorded five shots on target, but none resulted in goals.
Following the Champions League match, Brugge struggled in two domestic league matches. They first suffered a 2-4 defeat to Gent, followed by a 1-1 draw against Charleroi. After nine rounds, the team sits fourth in the standings, trailing leaders Genk by eight points.
Recent games have highlighted defensive issues for the Belgian club, as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in the last three matches. On average, the team concedes over one goal per match, and even a strong attack has not consistently compensated for defensive lapses.
Injuries and Suspensions
The only player missing today is Meyer due to injury.
Betting Trends
- Brugge is currently on a six-match winless streak in the Champions League
- In eight of the last ten away matches in the Champions League involving Brugge, at least three goals were scored
- Brugge has not won the first half in the last three matches
Projected Lineup: Mignolet - Mechele, Ordonez, Seis, De Keiper - Vitesse, Onyeka - Olsson, Vanaken, Zolis - Nilsson.
Trends
Bet «Brugge» to win in corners
In their last four matches, «Brugge» has not lost in corners
1.65Bet 1st Half: Total over 1.5 goals
In four out of the last five matches, «Sturm» scored more than one goal in the first half
2.55Bet Exact score 2:2
This score has occurred in 3 out of the last 15 matches of the hosts
13.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three out of the last five matches, «Brugge» scored in both halves
1.71Tip and bets
We believe the most promising bet in this matchup is on both teams to score. Both sides are struggling defensively, as seen in their opening matches of the Champions League. Meanwhile, both Sturm and Brugge confidently push forward, generating numerous scoring opportunities. It's noteworthy that goals were exchanged in four of Sturm's last five outings and in the last two matches involving Brugge.
Our prediction is that both teams will score at odds of 1.65
Betting on Total Goals
The visiting team has experience, but the current form of Brugge raises concerns, especially playing away. Sturm will make every effort on home turf to secure at least one point. Overall, there is no clear favorite in this matchup, making a draw a plausible outcome.
Our second bet is a draw with odds of 3.50
Betting on Corners
Statistically, it's noteworthy that Brugge has failed to record more than five corner kicks in 10 of their last 11 away matches in the Champions League. Therefore, we suggest another betting option.
Prediction – Brugge to have under 5.5 corners with odds of 1.56
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