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Tsitsipas vs Nishikori: ATP Shanghai Match Prediction
On October 4, Tsitsipas and Nishikori will face off in the second round of the Shanghai tournament. Tsitsipas is the favorite in this match, yet the odds of winning appear to be quite balanced. Especially considering that Nishikori has already defeated the Greek this season at the Montreal tournament. Will the Japanese player manage to upset the former world number three once again? Check out our match analysis and betting predictions for insights on this intriguing contest.
Command Analysis
Stefanos Tsitsipas
GreeceCurrent Form
Last week, Tsitsipas exited the Tokyo tournament swiftly, losing in the first round to Alex Mikaltsen. On outdoor hard courts this season, he holds 11 wins and 10 losses.
Professional Qualities
In his prime, Tsitsipas was known for his powerful first serve, reaching speeds of around 124 mph, and a well-crafted forehand, winning points with swift combinations. However, as he strays further from his peak, his serve has become less effective, and he tends to make more errors while trying to finish rallies quickly. His one-handed backhand is currently vulnerable, as opponents can exploit it with consistent pressure to outmaneuver the former world number three.
Current Tour Statistics
Tsitsipas, a former world number three, is currently ranked 12th globally. This season, he found success at a tournament, winning the clay Masters in Monte Carlo in April, marking his 12th ATP title in his career.
Interesting Betting Insights
In the second half of the season, Tsitsipas lost 4 out of 5 matches on outdoor hard courts.
Kei Nishikori
JapanCurrent Form
Nishikori secured a victory in the first round of the Shanghai tournament against Mariano Navone with scores of 3-6, 6-4, 6-3. Kei recorded one ace, converted three break points, and lost two games on his serve. For the Japanese player, this marks his sixth win on outdoor hard courts this season against four losses.
Professional Qualities
Nishikori's tennis is characterized by his speed, agility, and mental acuity. While he has become less mobile with age, his hand skills remain sharp. Most importantly, his extensive experience has enhanced his tactical strength. Kei is adept at exploiting opponents' weaknesses.
Current Tour Statistics
Nishikori is a former world number four and currently ranks 200th globally. This season, he reached the quarterfinals in four tournaments, progressing to this stage in Montreal, Como, Genoa, and Tokyo.
Interesting Betting Insights
In 6 out of his last 10 matches, Nishikori has seen fewer than 9.5 games played in the first set.
Trends
Bet Set Performance: 1>2
In 3 of the last 5 matches, Tsitsipas' games followed this pattern
2.32Bet No Tiebreak in the Match
This bet has been successful in 3 of Nishikori's last 5 matches
2.03Tip and bets
Despite Tsitsipas' higher ranking, Nishikori's chances of winning this match appear quite favorable. Stefanos has faced notable stability issues in the second half of the season. It's also worth mentioning that Kei has already defeated the Greek player this year, taking him down at the Montreal tournament.
Our prediction is a victory for Nishikori at odds of 2.75
Betting on the Total
Cicipas and Nishikori have already faced each other this season. Their match took place at the Montreal tournament and was contested in two sets. It's likely that the upcoming match will follow a similar pattern.
The second prediction is a total under 22 games with odds of 1.89.
Betting on the First Set
In three of Nishikori's last five matches, the first set saw fewer than 9.5 games played. It is probable that Kei's upcoming clash with Cicipas will also begin with a low-scoring first set.
The prediction is a total under 9.5 games in the first set with odds of 1.99.
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