Home vs Arsenal: Match Prediction for the First League
On October 5, Rodina will face the league leaders, Tula Arsenal, in Moscow during the 13th round of the season. The visitors have remained unbeaten since the start of the season and will be aiming to secure at least one point. However, the home team will be determined to claim victory. Will Rodina be able to hand the Gunners their first defeat, and what bets will play a crucial role in the match? Find out in our insightful prediction.

Command Analysis

Rodina

Current Form
The performance of Rodina has been inconsistent. The change in head coach has not brought about any improvements. Recently, the Moscow team has been playing more attacking football, but this has yet to translate into better results. In their last three matches, under the guidance of head coach Philipp Sokolinsky, they suffered two defeats to Neftekhimik (1:2) and Ufa (0:2). With this kind of form, it will be extremely challenging for the team to secure a playoff spot. Currently, they have accumulated 17 points and are sitting in eighth place in the standings, three points adrift of the top four.
Injuries and Suspensions
Andreev is currently sidelined.
Betting Trends to Note
- Rodina has lost only one home match this season
- On average, the club scores and concedes one goal per match
Projected Lineup: Sangare, Meshchaninov, Kleschenko, Krizhan, Kozhedub, Kane, Shadrintsev, Kontsevoy, Yushin, Burlakov, Reynayou

Arsenal Tula

Current Form
In their last match, Arsenal ended the away game against Ufa in a goalless draw, marking the sixth draw of the season. The team struggled with confidence, creating very few scoring opportunities and managing just one shot on target. Despite this, Arsenal maintains the top position in the standings, as their rivals also dropped points. The defense has been exceptional, allowing only four goals since the start of the championship, though they have scored a mere 10. The lead over Torpedo is just two points, while Ural sits three points behind. Coach Alexander Storozhuk is dissatisfied with the team's recent performances, and it will be interesting to see the strategy he employs against Rodina.
Injuries and Suspensions
The team will miss the services of Botaka-Ioboma and Bolshakov, who are sidelined with injuries.
Betting Trends to Watch
- Arsenal has achieved only one victory in away matches
- On average, the team has taken 4.3 corner kicks per game since the start of the season
Expected Lineup: Levashov, Berdnikov, Semenchuk, Volkov, Popov, Kainov, Lipovoy, Levin, Tsaraev, Tkachev, Odeyinka.
Trends
Bet Exact Score 0:0
In the last two matches of Arsenal, this score was recorded
5.50Bet 1st Half: Draw
In the last five matches of the visitors, the first half ended in a draw
1.87Bet 2nd Half: No Goals
In 3 of the last 5 matches of Tula, no goals were scored in the second half
2.85Tip and bets
The match will likely be controlled by Arsenal with few scoring opportunities. It’s reasonable to assume that the visitors will take charge and secure the desired outcome. In four of the last five games involving Tula, the total score has been under. We believe that this match will also lack a goal fest.
Prediction – total under two goals at odds of 1.90
Total Goals Bet
In this match, there isn't a clear favorite. Arsenal has remained unbeaten since the start of the season, with half of their matches (six) ending in draws. Both teams are performing well and will be eager to secure points. In their last three away games, the Gunners had draws, and we anticipate a similar outcome in this match.
Prediction - Draw with odds of 2.95
Team Goals Bet
In this game, Arsenal is likely to play cautiously, making it unlikely to expect goals from both teams. In their last three matches, the Tula team has not seen any exchanges of goals, and we predict a continuation of this trend today.
Prediction - Both teams to score: No with odds of 1.75