Liontips
Aston Villa vs Manchester United: Predictions and Bets with Odds of 2.22
In their last five encounters, Aston Villa consistently faced defeat against Manchester United. Currently, the Manchester team is not at their best, having gone four matches without a win. This presents a golden opportunity for the Birmingham side to end their losing streak. Will the home team seize their chance on October 6? Find out in our prediction. Renowned expert Roman Pavlyuchenko from our site also shares his betting insight on the match.
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent Form
The Aston Villa players head into their upcoming match on a positive emotional high. This week, they managed to secure a narrow victory over the formidable Bayern Munich at home, winning 1-0. Throughout that game, they had to primarily defend, but luck was on their side, and goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez made several crucial saves, earning him a spot in the tournament's Team of the Week. As a result, after two rounds, Unai Emery’s squad is currently positioned sixth in the Champions League standings with a maximum of six points.
In the Premier League, Aston Villa faced a setback last round, drawing 2-2 with Ipswich. Credit must be given to their opponents, who played solidly, but Aston Villa seemed to take their foot off the gas in the second half, prematurely believing the three points were secure.
Despite this, Aston Villa’s unbeaten streak in the Premier League has now reached four matches. The team continues to fight for a top-four finish, having accumulated 13 points over six games.
Injuries and Suspensions
Due to injuries, Tyrone Mings, Boubacar Kamara, and John McGinn will not play today. Additionally, Andre Onana and Jacob Ramsey were substituted during the match against Bayern because of injuries, and their participation is uncertain.
Notable Betting Trends
- In the last four Premier League matches, both teams have scored against Aston Villa.
- In their last eight home games in the Premier League, Birmingham has suffered only one loss.
- Aston Villa has not lost in the first half of their last three matches.
Projected Lineup: Martinez – Konsa, Carlos, Torres, Digne – Tielemans, Onana – Philogene, Rogers, Bailey – Watkins.
Manchester United
EnglandCurrent Form
Manchester United has not secured a victory in their last four matches across all competitions. The pressure is mounting on Erik ten Hag as he struggles to respond to the ongoing media scrutiny. In their latest disappointing performance, United drew with Porto in the Europa League (3:3), having initially led 2:0 before only equalizing in the dying moments of the match. Prior to this, they managed a draw at home against Twente (1:1) in this second-tier European tournament.
Bruno Fernandes has been a major setback for the team. He received a red card against Tottenham and was sent off again towards the end of the match with Porto. While one could argue about the referee’s decisions, as the red card from the game against Spurs was overturned, the reality remains that being down to ten men did not help their cause against the London side (0:3).
In the six Premier League matches played this season, Manchester United has accumulated just seven points. With such results, their hopes of securing a spot in European competitions appear bleak.
Injuries and Suspensions
Yoro, Malacia, and Shaw will miss today’s match due to injuries.
Notable Betting Trends
- In five of their last six matches, Manchester United players have been caught offside more often than their opponents
- In their last five Premier League matches, the Red Devils have won only once
- In six out of the last seven matches involving United, at least one team has failed to score
Projected Lineup: Onana – Mazraoui, de Ligt, Martinez, Dalot – Ugarte, Mainu – Garnacho, Fernandes, Rashford – Zirkzee.
Trends
Bet Manchester United to win corners
In eight of the last nine EPL meetings in Birmingham, Manchester United has won the corners
2.75Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.57Bet Correct score 2:1
Three of Aston Villa's last seven victories have come with this scoreline
9.00Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
This bet has succeeded in three of the last four encounters
1.65Tip and bets
The management of Manchester United has given Erik ten Hag just two matches to turn around the current situation following recent setbacks. Much will hinge on whether the players are willing to give their all for the coach. At this stage, Aston Villa is playing with more organization and won't allow themselves any significant lapses. Additionally, the players will enter the match with a strong emotional boost after their victory over Bayern Munich. We recommend a prediction in favor of the hosts.
Our prediction is a victory for Aston Villa with odds of 2.22
Total Goals Bet
The match against Bayern showcased Aston Villa's ability to play defensively and control their opponent's offense, bolstered by Martinez's strong performance in goal. Following their misstep in the last round against Ipswich, we believe that Unai Emery's squad will tighten their defense, suggesting that the game will see fewer than three goals.
Our second bet is on under 3.5 total goals at odds of 1.65.
Yellow Card Bet
It's worth noting that in six of the previous seven encounters at Aston Villa's home, there were no more than five yellow cards issued. Based on this trend, we recommend another betting option.
Prediction: total yellow cards under 5.5 at odds of 1.67.
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