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Gauff vs Badosa: WTA Beijing Match Prediction

China
Cori Gauff
USA
China Open
capital-group-diamond

In the first semifinal of the tournament in Beijing on October 5, Coco Gauff will face Paula Badosa. In their last head-to-head match, the American tennis player came out on top, but that was on clay. How will the game unfold today on hard court? Our expert shares insights in the prediction.

Cori Gauff vs Paula Badosa Prediction and Betting Tips (05.10.2024)

Command Analysis

Cori Gauff

USA

Current Form

Gauff has reached the semifinals of the Beijing tournament for the second consecutive year. It hasn't come easily for her. In every match played, the American struggled initially but improved with each set, which led to her success. She handled Burel and Boulter without dropping a set. However, she lost the opening set to Osaka, who then withdrew from the decisive set. In the semifinals, Cori triumphed over Starodubtseva with a score of 2-6, 6-2, 6-2.

Professional Qualities

Cori's quick footwork allows her to cover nearly the entire court and she knows how to accelerate the pace of the game. However, her second serve and high number of double faults are notable weaknesses.

Current Tour Statistics

Since the beginning of the year, Gauff has found the most success on hard courts, achieving 26 victories and just eight losses. She currently holds the sixth position in the worldwide rankings.

Interesting Betting Facts

  • In her last two matches in Beijing, Gauff lost the opening sets.
  • In only one of the four matches involving the American in Beijing did more than nine games occur in the second set.

Paula Badosa

Spain

Current Form

Badosa has shown impressive form on American hard courts and has continued this momentum in Beijing. Paula remains unbeaten in sets over four matches, although she faced challenges along the way. For instance, she edged out Sramkova in two tight sets (7-5, 7-5). In the quarterfinals, she came close to losing control against Zhang Shuai, winning 6-1, 7-6.

Professional Attributes

Paula is a versatile player with a diverse technical skill set, capable of accelerating the pace of rallies, which often leads her opponents to make errors. Her strong first serve generates numerous easy points.

Current Tour Statistics

After a slow start to the season as she recovered from an injury, Paula significantly improved during the second half. Now, her hard court record stands at an impressive 23 wins against just nine losses.

Interesting Betting Insights

  • On her way to the semifinals, Badosa has yet to lose a set
  • In two of her last three matches, more than nine games were played in the first set

Trends

Bet Total under 2.5 sets

In only one of the last five meetings were there exchanges of sets won

1.53
1.53

Bet Sets efficiency: 1>2

This scenario unfolded in the last three direct clashes

2.25
2.25

Tip and bets

1.9Victory for Badosa

Badosa has progressed more confidently through the tournament bracket, with bookmakers giving her a slight edge. Kori has faced difficulties at the start of her matches, which the Spaniard can exploit today. Additionally, Paula leads their head-to-head meetings 3-2.

Our prediction is a Badosa win with odds of 1.90

Do you agree with this bet?
1.83Total under 23

Bet on Total

The competitors have faced each other five times, with only one instance of them exchanging set wins. We anticipate they won't exceed 23 games today.

Our second bet is for a total of under 23 games at 1.83.

Bet on the Second Set

It's noteworthy that in four out of five previous matches, the second set featured fewer than nine games played. Therefore, we recommend another betting option.

Prediction - total under 9.5 games in the second set with odds of 1.71.

Do you agree with this bet?

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