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Badosa vs Tomljanovic: WTA Wuhan Match Prediction

China
Paula Badosa
Spain
Wuhan Tennis Open
court-1

Paula Badosa will compete in Wuhan following her semifinal appearance in Beijing. Ajla Tomljanovic claimed victory at last week's tournament in Hong Kong. Both players are in excellent form and will clash on October 8. How will this matchup unfold and what reliable betting options should you consider? Find the answers in our prediction.

Paula Badosa vs Ajla Tomljanovic Prediction and Betting Tips (08.10.2024)

Command Analysis

Paula Badosa

Spain

Current Form

Badosa appears to be at the peak of her form after overcoming health issues. Following a successful North American hardcourt series, Paula had a strong tournament in Beijing, with the exception of her semifinal clash against Gauff. In that match, the Spaniard initially led and looked poised to secure a spot in the final, but lost her grip on the game, ultimately falling (6-4, 4-6, 2-6). Nevertheless, in the Chinese capital, Badosa defeated all her other opponents 2-0 in sets, including a notable victory over Jessica Pegula (6-4, 6-0).

Professional Qualities

Recently, Badosa faced back issues, but she is now in good health, showcasing excellent tennis and utilizing her extensive technical arsenal. Her ability to maintain a high tempo during rallies and her consistency at the baseline with deep, powerful shots are particularly noteworthy.

Current Tour Statistics

Thanks to her recent achievements, Paula is inching closer to a return to the top 10, currently ranked 15th in the world. She has enjoyed the most success on hard courts, boasting 23 wins in 33 matches played, including a title at the Washington tournament.

Interesting Betting Facts

  • Badosa's last five victories in the tour were secured with a straight 2-0 set score.
  • In three of her last four matches, more than nine games were played in the second set.

Ajla Tomljanovic

Australia

Current Form

Tomljanovic struggled in Beijing, losing in the first round to Osorio Serrano with scores of 1-6, 6-3, 4-6. Transitioning to a lower-tier tournament in Hong Kong, Ayla showcased her skills and clinched the title by defeating Clara Tauson in the final, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. The Australian tennis player enters the Wuhan tournament in solid competitive shape.

Professional Qualities

Due to frequent injuries, Tomljanovic took time to reach peak form. Her performance in Hong Kong demonstrated that Ayla is ready for tough battles. With her determination and willpower, she is prepared to compete against any opponent on the tour. In Hong Kong, for instance, she secured three out of five matches despite set exchanges.

Current Tour Statistics

Back in June, Tomljanovic made an impression with strong performances on grass, reaching the Birmingham final. However, on hard courts, aside from her title in Hong Kong, she has not found much success this year, recording 9 wins against 10 losses.

Interesting Betting Insights

  • In four of her last six matches, Tomljanovic played three-set encounters
  • At least nine games were played in the first set of four out of the five previous matches for the Australian player

Trends

Bet Set Efficiency: 1>2

This scenario unfolded in the last two head-to-head matches

2.25
2.25

Bet 1st Set: Total Over 9.5 Games

This bet succeeded in four out of the last five matches of the Australian player

2.32
2.32

Tip and bets

1.68Badosa with a handicap of -5

Both players demonstrated high-level performance last week and are in great shape. Badosa achieved victories against tougher opponents while Tomljanovic claimed the title in Hong Kong, relying heavily on her experience and grit, leaving her with little energy. It’s unlikely that Ayla will be able to maintain the high pace that Paula will set today.

Our prediction is a win for Badosa with a handicap of (-5) games at odds of 1.68.

Do you agree with this bet?
1.75Total Under 20

Total Bets

At the Beijing tournament, Badosa recorded four victories with a precise score of 2-0 in sets. Given Tomljanovic's noticeable fatigue, it’s unlikely she will be able to extend the match today.

The second bet is under 20 games at a 1.75 odds.

Bet on the Second Set

In their last two encounters, more than nine games were not played in the second set. We don't expect this trend to change in Wuhan today.

Prediction - total games in the second set under 9.5 with 1.45 odds.

Do you agree with this bet?

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