Alverca vs Penafiel: Match Prediction for the Portuguese Championship
In the eighth round of the Portuguese Second League, Alverca faces Penafiel. The visitors currently sit atop the league table while the hosts find themselves closer to the relegation zone. Who will claim points on October 12? Find out in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Alverca

Current Form
Alverca claimed the Third League title last season, earning promotion to the second division where they are faring reasonably well. The team holds 13th place in the standings and is three points clear of the relegation zone. In recent matches, they secured a victory over Maritimo (2:1), drew with Leixões (1:1) and Mafra (1:1), and advanced in the cup against Sombroes (3:2).
Disciplinary Issues and Injuries
The hosts have no squad issues to worry about.
Noteworthy Betting Trends
- The team has managed to avoid defeat in their last four matches.
- In their last five home games, Alverca has not registered a single victory.
Expected Lineup: João Bravim - Oliveira, Varela, Paulo Eduardo - Pires, Martins, Dias, Luís Miguel - Brenner, Carter, Andrezinho

Penafiel

Current Form
Penafiél finished last season in 13th place but now sits atop the league standings. After seven matches, the team has earned 17 points, narrowly ahead of Benfica's B-team. The visitors remain unbeaten this season, recently securing clean sheet victories against Portimonense (2-0) and Leiria (1-0). Prior to that, they comfortably defeated Toca (4-1) in the Portuguese Cup.
Injuries and Suspensions
Silva and Maga will miss the match due to suspensions.
Notable Betting Trends
- The visitors have recorded three consecutive wins
- They remain unbeaten so far this season
Projected Lineup: Balde - Pereira, Ferreira, Pereira, Brito - Batista, Recu - Ze Leite, Everton, Ribeiro - Barbosa
Trends
Bet Final Score 1:1
The last two home matches ended with this score
6.50Bet Both Teams to Score
This bet has been successful in the last four matches of Alverki
1.88Bet Number 1 in Final Score
This pattern occurred in four out of the last five matches of the guests
1.62Tip and bets
The home team has demonstrated solid football in recent matches, but the visitors are sitting at the top of the standings and have no intention of giving up their position. "Alverca" has not won at home in five consecutive games, and it seems unlikely that this streak will end against the league leaders.
Our prediction is an Asian handicap of (0) on "Penafiel" at 1.90
Bet on Total Goals
The home team will likely play cautiously in defense against the league leaders. The visitors are also unlikely to make mistakes near their goal, as they have kept two clean sheets in their last matches. Thus, it is probable that there won't be many goals in this match.
Prediction - total goals under 2.5 with odds of 1.67
Bet on Corners
Given that both teams are expected to focus on defense, it is unlikely we will see many corners.
Prediction - total corners under 10.5 with odds of 1.75