Liontips
Spain vs Denmark: Predictions and Bets at Odds of 2.10
For over 30 years, the Spanish national team has not lost to Denmark. In the Nations League, both teams currently lead their group standings after two rounds. What unfolds on the pitch during their face-off on October 12, and which reliable bets should you consider? Discover our insights in this betting tip. Additionally, renowned experts Alexander Mostovoy and Igor Semshov share their perspectives on the match.
Command Analysis
Spain
SpainCurrent Form
The Spanish national team triumphed at the European Championship this year, defeating England 2-1 in the final. The team showcased bold and attacking football, a refreshing change brought by coach Luis de la Fuente.
However, their start in the Nations League was disappointing. In the opening match, Spain played away against Serbia and failed to break through their defense, ending the game 0-0 despite dominating possession and attempting 22 shots on goal.
In the second round, Spain had no trouble converting chances. They claimed a 4-1 victory against Switzerland away from home, even playing with ten men from the 20th minute, having already led 2-0 by then. With four points from two matches, the team sits in second place. A win today against the leader would elevate them to the top, as they trail by two points.
Injuries and Suspensions
The team's losses are significant, although they have a deep squad. Dani Carvajal, Rodri, and Nico Williams will miss the match due to injuries, and Le Normand will serve a suspension.
Betting Trends to Note
- Spain has not lost in regulation time in their last 17 official matches
- In seven of their last eight Nations League matches, no more than three goals were scored
- Spain has drawn with opponents in the first half in three of their last five matches
Projected Lineup: Raya — Pedro Porro, Vivian, Laporte, Cucurella — Ruiz, Zubimendi, Pedri — Yamal, Morata, Oyarzabal.
Denmark
DenmarkCurrent Form
Denmark's national team barely advanced from the group stage at Euro 2024, but they struggled against Germany in the knockout round, losing 0-2. Overall, this outcome was expected as it is challenging for them to compete evenly with top European squads.
In the Nations League, the Danes have left a positive impression so far. Under Lars Knudsen's guidance, they secured 2-0 victories at home against Switzerland and Serbia. In these matches, the team showcased well-organized defense, employing a tactical scheme with three central defenders. They also had no significant issues converting chances in attack.
Clearly, in the away match against Spain, the Danes will rely on a solid defense and counterattacks. It's important to note that all matches involving the Denmark team in the European Championship and their two Nations League games have seen fewer than three goals scored in total. The squad plays very pragmatically, with the midfield constantly pressing opponents, and boasts experienced goalkeeper Schmeichel.
Injuries and Suspensions
All players are fit and ready to take the field.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In the last 12 matches involving Denmark in the Nations League, there were no draws – with nine wins and three losses recorded.
- In five of the last six matches for Denmark in the Nations League, at least one team failed to score.
- In four of the last five matches across all competitions, Denmark finished the first half on level terms.
Projected Line-up: Schmeichel – Christensen, Andersen, Vestergaard – Bahl, Hjulmand, Højbjerg, Dorgu – Grønbek, Eriksen – Poulsen.
Trends
Bet No goals in both halves
In four of Spain’s last five matches, goals were not scored in both halves
1.81Bet Spain will score in the second half
Spain has scored in the second 45 minutes in three of their last five matches
1.42Bet Exact score 1:0
Two of Spain’s last three victories came with a one-goal margin
6.50Bet 1st half: Draw
This bet has been successful in four of Denmark’s last five matches
2.55Tip and bets
Spain's national team faced two challenging matches in the Nations League. They struggled with finishing against Serbia, often lacking the speed to develop effective attacks. However, their performance against Switzerland showed improvement in offensive play. Denmark impressed with their organization, as each player knew their roles and responsibilities in various situations. We doubt the hosts can easily breach the Danish defense multiple times. The likelihood of the favorite winning by more than one goal seems low. An unexpected outcome today wouldn't be surprising.
Our prediction is a Denmark victory with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.70
Bet on Total Goals
Under the guidance of Luis de la Fuente, the Spanish national team has adopted a more attacking style of play. However, today they face a well-organized and pragmatic opponent, making it unlikely that there will be many goals scored. Notably, since the European Championship, there have been six consecutive matches involving the Danes where no more than two goals were scored.
The second bet is on the total under 2.5 goals with odds of 2.10
Bet on Yellow Cards
It's important to note that in six of the last seven home matches in the Nations League, the Spanish players did not receive more than one yellow card. Therefore, we suggest another betting option.
Prediction - total yellow cards for Spain under 1.5 with odds of 1.75
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