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Germany vs Netherlands: Prediction and Betting Odds of 2.40
The highlight of the Nations League matchday on October 14 will be the clash between powerhouse European teams Germany and the Netherlands. In their first encounter, both sides delivered an exciting display of attacking football, ending in a 2-2 draw. How will the return match in Munich unfold, and what bets should you consider? Find the answers in our detailed prediction. Additionally, renowned expert Alexander Mostovoy shares his insights on this thrilling matchup.
Command Analysis
Germany
GermanyCurrent Form
In the Nations League, Germany's national team made a strong statement for the top spot in their group. They secured a 5-0 victory against Hungary in the opening match. Next, they faced their main rivals, the Netherlands, in an away game. Both teams delivered an exciting contest filled with attacking plays and effective finishing, resulting in a 2-2 draw.
Just three days ago, the German team played an away match against Bosnia and Herzegovina. By the 36th minute, Julian Nagelsmann's squad established a comfortable two-goal lead. The opponent managed to score once in the second half through the experienced Dzeko. The 2-1 win allowed Germany to lead the group with seven points since the Dutch were unable to secure a victory against Hungary in their latest match.
Notably, Nagelsmann is actively rotating his squad in the Nations League, giving numerous players the opportunity to showcase their talents. For instance, Undav stood out against Bosnia and Herzegovina, netting a brace. In goal, given Ter Stegen's absence, Stuttgart's Nubel is looking to make a mark.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Due to injuries, Ter Stegen, Musiala, Havertz, Füllkrug, Raum, and Henrichs will not be able to assist their national team.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Germany has not lost in eight of their last nine home matches in the Nations League.
- In four of their last six home matches in the Nations League, Germany scored at least three goals.
- Germany has won the first half in their last three matches.
Probable Lineup: Nubel – Kimmich, Rüdiger, Thiaw, Mittelstadt – Groß, Andrich – Gnabry, Undav, Wirtz – Kleindienst.
Netherlands
NetherlandsCurrent Form
The Netherlands National Team kicked off their Nations League campaign with an impressive home match against Bosnia and Herzegovina, winning 5-2. Every goal came from a different player, showcasing their dominant performance with 71% possession and 28 shots on target.
The second round was equally exciting, ending in a 2-2 draw against Germany. Although they scored first, they found themselves needing to equalize in the second half, which they successfully achieved.
Given their vibrant offensive play, it seemed that Ronald Koeman's squad would have no trouble in the third round against Hungary. However, their finishing let them down despite controlling the game. Remarkably, they managed to equalize only in the 83rd minute after going down to ten men due to Van Dijk's red card, ending in a 1-1 draw. With five points, the Netherlands comes into the fourth round sitting second in the group, two points behind Germany.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Today, Van Dijk will not play due to suspension, while Ake and Schouten are out with injuries.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In four of their last five away Nations League matches, the Netherlands scored at least two goals
- The team trailed at halftime in their last two matches
- There has been a goal exchange in the last six head-to-head encounters
Expected Lineup: Verbruggen - Dumfries, Frimpong, de Vrij, Van de Ven - Gravenberch, Reinders, Timber - Simons, Zirkzee, Gakpo.
Trends
Bet Germany to win corners
In seven of their last nine home matches in the Nations League, Germany has won more corners than their opponents
1.51Bet Germany to score in the first half
German players have scored in the first 45 minutes in their last six head-to-head matches
1.79Bet Correct score 2:1
Germany secured their last two victories in head-to-head encounters by a one-goal margin
8.20Bet 1st half: Germany to win
The Netherlands have not won the first half in their last two matches
2.24Tip and bets
Throughout the tournament, both teams have displayed impressive attacking play. Germany has netted nine goals in three matches, keeping a clean sheet only against Hungary. The Netherlands has scored eight times but has also consistently conceded goals. Furthermore, in their last six head-to-head encounters, both teams have exchanged goals. Therefore, it seems reasonable to place a wager on both teams to score in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is both teams to score at odds of 1.60
Match Outcome Bet
In their recent away match, Germany battled to a 2-2 draw against the Netherlands. However, playing at home in Munich, the team is expected to be closer to victory. The German squad is known for its solid defensive play, which could be a crucial factor today.
Our second bet is on Germany to win with odds of 1.83
Exact Score Difference Bet
We don’t anticipate a blowout win for the hosts. The gap in skill level between the teams is minimal. It’s highly likely that Germany’s victory will come by a margin of one or two goals.
Betting Tip: Germany to win by a margin of one to two goals with odds of 2.40
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