Estonia vs Sweden: Nations League Match Prediction
On October 14, the Estonian national team will host the group leader Sweden in the Nations League. The visitors are fighting for the top spot with Slovakia and have no right to make a mistake today. Will they be able to take three points? – the answer is in our expert’s forecast. What bets should you choose for the game?

Command Analysis

Estonia

Current form
In the first two rounds, Estonia played against the group favourites and not only failed to score a single point, but also failed to score a single goal. First, Jurgen Henn men lost 0:1 to Slovakia on their home field, and then were unable to do anything against Sweden on the road (0:3). However, in the third round, the Estonians beat Azerbaijan on their home field (3:1) and thus made a strong bid for third place in the group.
Disqualifications and injuries
Midfielder Rocco Robert Shane will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Interesting trends for betting
- Three of Estonia last five matches have seen more than one goal scored in the first half
- Estonia have gone undefeated in six of their previous seven home matches in the Nations League.
Estimated line-up : Ein - Lilander, Tamm, Metz, Pick - Saarma, Palumets, Vetkal, Kait, Sinyavsky - Sorga.

Sweden

Current form
Sweden approaches the upcoming match in first place in the group, but is ahead of Slovakia only due to additional indicators. Both teams have seven points. Jon Dahl Tomasson team predictably won Azerbaijan away (3:1) and Estonia at home (3:0). The third round match against Slovakia was unsuccessful. The Swedes led 2:0 in the first half, but lost their advantage and allowed their opponent to come back (2:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Nilsson and Isak will not play due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the last two matches, Sweden won in the first half
- Five of Sweden last six away games in the Nations League have seen goals exchanged
Probable line-up : Johansson – Krafft, Douglas, Heene, Augustinsson – Kulusevski, Saletros, Karlstrom, Nanasi – Elanga, Gyokeres.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of the four previous head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.45Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet was successful in three of the last five matches of the Estonian national team
2.28Bet Exact score 1:2
The Estonian team suffered two of its last six defeats with this score
9.20Tip and bets
Bookmakers have virtually no doubt that the visitors will win. Indeed, Sweden has a tangible advantage in class, and beat their upcoming opponent at home without any problems. However, the Estonians regularly give many opponents a run for their money on their home field, and in the Nations League, they have not lost at all in six of their previous seven matches at home. We think that we will not see a crushing victory from the Swedes today.
Our prediction is Estonia victory with an Asian handicap (+2) at odds of 1.70
Bet on total
In the two previous head-to-head matches, more than two goals were scored. It is unlikely that we should expect a closed game today, especially since in all matches involving Sweden in the tournament, the bet was on a total of more than 2.5 goals.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.61
Bet on corners
Let note that in 10 of the last 11 home matches of the Estonian national team, there were no more than eight corners. Accordingly, we offer another option for a bet with high odds.
Forecast - total corners under 8.5 with odds of 2.35