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Sonego vs Ruud. ATP Stockholm Match Prediction
Sonego and Ruud will meet in the second round of the tournament in Stockholm on October 16. Traditionally, the second half of the season is going badly for Ruud. Casper failed the last two tournaments - in both Beijing and Shanghai, he put his racket down after the opening matches. How will the Norwegian perform in Stockholm? - the analysis of the upcoming match and bets on it are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Lorenzo Sonego
ItalyCurrent form
Sonego beat Marc-André Hüsler (7-6, 7-5) at the start of the competition in Stockholm. During the match, Lorenzo served eight aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. For the Italian, this was his first indoor victory this season, with one defeat.
Professional qualities
Sonego is a clay court player whose game is characterised by powerful shots from the baseline, especially from the forehand, which is his main weapon. On clay courts, the Italian has enough time to run under his right hand, but on faster surfaces he is forced to use his less consistent backhand more often.
Current indicators in the tour
Sonego is in the bottom 50 of the world rankings. This season, the Italian has a negative win-loss record, but he has one trophy to his credit. In August, Lorenzo won the competition in Winston-Salem. This was the fourth ATP title in Lorenzo career.
Interesting facts for betting
Sonego has won just one of his five matches since his triumph at the Winston-Salem tournament.
Casper Ruud
NorwayCurrent form
Ruud has failed in his last two tournaments. In Tokyo, he lost to Jordan Thompson in the first round, and at the Masters in Shanghai, Casper lost to Aleksandar Vukic at the start. The Norwegian tennis player has only played one match indoors this year.
Professional qualities
Ruud, although considered a classic clay court player, has improved his game on fast surfaces significantly in the last three years. Despite the lack of indoor titles, he has proven himself at a high level, reaching the final of the World Championships in 2022. Casper is very dependent on his physical condition: on a good day he can beat anyone, but when his physical condition fails, mistakes start to pour in.
Current indicators in the tour
Ruud is a former world number two, but is currently ranked eighth in the world. Casper has won two clay court tournaments this season - he won in Geneva and the competition in Barcelona. The Norwegian now has 12 ATP titles won in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Ruud has played in Stockholm twice in his career and has never made it past the starting line.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Sonego last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.34Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has paid off in 3 of Ruud last 5 matches
1.87Tip and bets
Ruud is the favorite in this matchup due to his rating, but his recent results raise questions. In general, Kasper has this problem - he has been having a bad second half of the season. So we think that in this pair it is worth betting on Sonego to win.
Our prediction is Sonego victory with odds of 2.41
Bet on total
The tennis players are well acquainted with each other game, as they have previously met on the tennis court four times in their careers. The last two face-to-face confrontations were "top-heavy". We expect the upcoming match to follow exactly the same scenario.
The second forecast is total over 22 games for odds of 1.84
Bet on the first set
Four of Ruud last five matches have seen more than 9.5 games in the first set. We expect Casper vs. Sonego to start with a top-flight first set as well.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.67
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