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Alcaraz vs. Nadal. Six Kings Slam Exhibition Match Prediction
Alcaraz and Nadal will meet in the semifinals of the exhibition competition Six Kings Slam on October 17. One of Nadal last matches. Rafa is close to the end of his career and this is one of the unique opportunities to see the Spaniard in action. Will he be able to play on equal terms with his successor? - the analysis of the meeting and the forecast for this match are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz
SpainCurrent form
Alcaraz advanced to the semifinals of the Six Kings Slam exhibition tournament with a 6-4, 6-2 win over Holger Rune. Carlos served six aces, converted three break points and did not lose a single game on serve against the Norwegian. It was the Spaniard’s third consecutive indoor victory this season.
Professional qualities
Alcaraz is the next iteration of tennis excellence. He has absorbed the best traits of Federer, Nadal and Djokovic, having watched them dominate, and is now a near-flawless tennis machine. Indoor courts have long been the Spaniard’s weak point, but he has shown significant improvement on this surface since the start of 2024.
Current indicators in the tour
Alcaraz is currently ranked second in the world. The Spaniard is having a good season. He has won four trophies this year. Carlos played successfully at the Indian Wells and Beijing tournaments, and he also won Roland Garros and Wimbledon. The Spaniard now has 17 ATP trophies.
Interesting facts for betting
Alcaraz has won 12 of his last 13 matches.
Rafael Nadal
SpainCurrent form
Nadal recently announced his retirement after the Davis Cup. The Spaniard last played an official match at the Paris Olympics in late July. Then, let us recall, he lost to Novak Djokovic in the second round.
Professional qualities
Nadal is a legend known even to those who are far from tennis. 14 Roland Garros titles, 22 victories in Grand Slam tournaments, the King of Clay, a man who does not give up even in the most hopeless matches. His professional qualities are a set of the best in the world: filigree drop shots, a powerful backhand and a tricky forehand with incredible topspin.
Current indicators in the tour
Nadal is a former world number one, but the Spaniard is currently ranked 153rd in the world. This season, Rafa has played only one final - in July, he reached the final of the clay tournament in Bastad, where he lost to Nuno Borges.
Interesting facts for betting
Nadal has played only three matches on hard courts this season, winning two and losing one.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of Nadal previous 5 matches
1.44Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Alcaraz last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.22Tip and bets
Although Nadal hasn't played for a long time, we still don't think he'll easily give up the upcoming match to Alcaraz. We think Rafa will definitely fight Carlos for the win. At the very least, we expect him to take one set from his compatriot.
Our prediction is Nadal victory with a handicap of (+5) games at odds of 1.74
Bet on total
Alcaraz and Nadal have met each other four times in their careers. The last three meetings between them were played in three sets. We expect that the upcoming meeting between them will also be "top".
The second forecast is total over 21 games for odds of 1.89
Bet on the first set
Three of Nadal last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games, and Rafa upcoming match against Alcaraz is likely to start with a low first set as well.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.99
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