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Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.50
Borussia Dortmund went into the international break with a defeat to Union. St. Pauli lost in the last two rounds, conceding three goals each. How will events develop on the field in the face-to-face confrontation on October 18 and what bets should you choose? We suggest you familiarize yourself with our forecast for the game
Command Analysis
Borussia Dortmund
GermanyCurrent form
In the last round, Borussia suffered an away defeat to Union with a score of 1:2. This is already the second failure of Dortmund in the Bundesliga in seven rounds played - there was also an away defeat to Stuttgart (1:5). In the tournament table, the team currently occupies a modest seventh place with 10 points.
As you can see, Nuri Sahin men are currently playing their home games flawlessly - a maximum of nine points in three games played. It is impossible not to notice the high performance on their home field - 10 goals scored. Serou Guirassy is good in attack, he immediately joined the team well and has already managed to score three goals in four matches in the Bundesliga. The Guinean has scored five goals in two games for the national team in this window.
So far, https://www.bvb.de target=_blank rel=noopener>Borussia has been performing best in the Champions League. In the first two rounds, the Black and Yellows left no chance for Brugge - a 3-0 win away from home, and for Celtic - a crushing 7-1 home win. Thanks to such successes, they were able to immediately top the standings.
Disqualifications and injuries
Reina, Adeyemi and Duranville will not play due to injuries. The appearance of Bayer, who arrived from the youth team with an injury, is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Eight of Borussia last ten Bundesliga matches have seen at least three goals scored
- Borussia have won five matches in a row at home in the championship
- Dortmund have not lost on corners in five of their previous six matches
Probable line-up : Kobel - Couto, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson - Jan, Gross - Sabitzer, Brandt, Gittens - Guirassy.
St. Pauli
GermanyCurrent form
St. Pauli had a tough start to the Bundesliga season. They failed to pick up a single point in the first three rounds, and scored only one goal. However, fans waited for a breakthrough. First there was an unexpected 0:0 draw with Leipzig, and then a sensational 3:0 away win over Freiburg.
Before the international break, Alexander Blessin men played against Mainz, had a tangible advantage, created a large number of dangerous moments, but still failed to score. The opponent clearly used their chances and opened up the Pirates' defense three times (0:3). With four points, St. Pauli is in 15th place, outside the relegation zone, and based on the level of play they have begun to demonstrate, they do not look like the main contender for relegation.
During the international break, St. Pauli played a friendly match against Hannover 96, which they lost 2-3. A tough test lies ahead, but let note that the last time the Pirates won a cup game was in 2022, when they beat Borussia Dortmund 2-1. However, that win was on their home field.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ahlers, Burchert, Zoller, Voll and Saad will not be able to help their team due to injuries, while Metcalf, Buchalf and Troy are in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- In three of the last five matches, St. Pauli played to a draw in the first half
- In five of St. Pauli six Bundesliga matches, at least one team failed to score
- No more than three goals have been scored in five of the team six league matches this season
Probable lineup : Vasil - Val, Smith, Mets - Saliakas, Wagner, Irvin, Ritzka - Afolayan, Eggestein, Guilavogui.
Trends
Borussia will not lose on yellow cards
Borussia have not lost in their last five matches due to the number of yellow cards
1.72Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet played in the guests' three previous matches
2.10Bet Exact score 3:1
St. Pauli last three defeats have come after conceding three goals
10.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In Borussia last four matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.61Tip and bets
Borussia have been playing flawlessly at home in the Bundesliga at the start of the season, winning all three matches with a two-goal advantage. In addition, there was also a home rout of Celtic in the Champions League. So far, the yellow-blacks can only see problems with compact and organized defending opponents, as was the case with the same Union. St. Pauli, despite some progress, is not distinguished by stability and reliability in defense, it is unlikely that they will be able to contain the same Guirassy, who is capable of single-handedly creating and realizing a moment due to his high individual skill. Plus, the guests have noticeable problems with the lineup. We think that the favorite will not experience any particular problems today.
Our prediction is a victory for Borussia Dortmund with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 1.79
Bet on total
Taking into account the Champions League, at least six goals have been scored in Borussia last three home games. St. Pauli failed in defense against Mainz last round and are unlikely to be able to play reliably in defense today. We believe that the game will be productive.
The second bet is total over three goals with odds of 1.67
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Borussia have won all three of their home wins in the Bundesliga since the start of the season with a two-goal advantage. We expect in our forecast that the hosts will also win with a comfortable score difference in the upcoming match.
Prediction: Borussia win by two or three goals with odds of 2.50
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