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Carballes Baena vs Arnaldi. ATP Basel Match Forecast
Carballes Baena and Arnaldi will meet in the first round of the tournament in Basel on October 21. Carballes Baena is a clay court player, but this season the Spaniard has shown himself to be as good as ever on hard courts. Roberto certainly cannot be written off, he is quite capable of creating problems for Arnaldi in the upcoming match. What bets should you pay attention to in this pair? - you will find out in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Roberto Carballes Baena
SpainCurrent form
Carballes Baena had a less than successful run at the Antwerp tournament last week. The Spaniard beat Dominik Koepfer in the first round of that tournament, but then lost to Alex De Minaur. It was Roberto first indoor experience this season.
Professional qualities
Carballes Baena is a true marathon runner on the court, capable of outrunning any opponent. His high speed and endurance allow him to conduct long rallies from the baseline, which makes him extremely effective on clay. However, on fast surfaces, this style does not always bring the desired result. Nevertheless, this season the Spaniard has shown an improvement in his game on hard, achieving decent results.
Current indicators in the tour
Carballes Baena is currently ranked 55th in the world. This season, the Spaniard has added two more victories to his trophy collection. On the specialized clay, he won the Challengers in Braunschweig and Seville. Roberto now has 24 trophies won in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
In 7 of his last 10 matches, Carballes Baena has lost in the first set.
Matteo Arnaldi
ItalyCurrent form
Arnaldi last took to the court in an official match on the courts of Shanghai in early October. At that competition, everything ended for Matteo after the third round, in which he lost to Daniil Medvedev. The Italian has not played a single match indoors this season.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi has improved his hard court game significantly over the last two years, thanks to improvements in his serve and attack. His performance in the Montreal Masters semi-finals is a prime example. He has not yet managed to achieve the same results on clay. However, the Italian has not yet demonstrated similar growth indoors.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is currently 37 in the world rankings. The Italian is having a good season, but so far he can only boast of one semi-final. He managed to reach the semi-finals this year at the tournament in Montreal - at this stage he lost to Andrey Rublev.
Interesting facts for betting
On indoor hard courts, Arnaldi has a negative record throughout his career: 9 wins and 21 losses.
Trends
Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in 3 of Arnaldi 5 previous matches
2.25Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Carballes Baena last 5 matches, the events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.31Tip and bets
Arnaldi has not played indoors yet this season, while Carballes Baena warmed up on this surface last week in the tournament in Antwerp, where he beat Koepfer and took a set from De Minaur. We think that in this pair it is worth taking a risk and betting on the victory of the Spaniard.
Our prediction is Carballes Baena victory with odds of 2.63
Bet on total
The only face-to-face match between the tennis players was played via "top". We expect that the upcoming face-to-face match between Carballes Baena and Arnaldi will also be "top".
The second forecast is total over 22 games for odds of 1.84
Bet on the first set
Four of Arnaldi last five matches have seen the first set go to more than 9.5 games, and it likely that Matteo upcoming match against Carballes Baena will also start with a top-heavy first set.
Forecast - total over 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.62
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