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PSG vs PSV: Prediction and bets with odds of 2.80
PSG have won only two of their last five matches in all tournaments, and there is clearly a certain decline in the French giants' play. PSV are in good shape now, having won four of their previous five matches. The rivals will meet in person in the third round of the Champions League on October 22. Will the visitors be able to surprise us today and take points from their formidable opponent? We suggest you read our forecast and choose the right bets for the game
Command Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain
FranceCurrent form
At the start of the Champions League, PSG played a tough match against Girona. They managed to beat the Spaniards on their home field with a minimal score of 1:0, and only thanks to an own goal by the opponent in the 90th minute. In the second round, the Parisians had a difficult trip to London to Arsenal. In the first half, the Gunners scored two goals, PSG tried to recoup, had a lot of possession, but created almost no truly dangerous moments. As a result, a completely natural defeat 0:2 and an interim 19th place in the Champions League standings.
In Ligue 1, Luis Enrique men had a strong start, a series of four victories in a row. However, as soon as the games in the Champions League began, a decline in the national championship followed. In the last four rounds, PSG won two victories and drew twice with opponents, and with far from the most formidable ones - Reims (1:1) and Nice (1:1). As a result, after eight rounds, the Parisians are in first place, but only on additional indicators are ahead of Monaco. In the last round, they managed to confidently beat Strasbourg on their home field with a score of 4:2.
Without Mbappe, PSG have had a great start to the season with Bradley Barcola, who has seven goals and one assist in Ligue 1.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ramos, Kimpembe and Hernandez will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- PSG have lost in the first half in three of their previous five matches
- In 12 of 15 home matches in the Champions League, the Parisians have not lost in regular time
- No more than two goals have been scored in six of the last eight home matches in the Champions League
Probable line-up : Donnarumma - Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes - Vitinha, Neves, Zaire-Emery - Dembele, Lee, Barcola.
PSV Eindhoven
NetherlandsCurrent form
PSV have only one point after two rounds in the Champions League and are in 24th place in the overall table. At the start, Peter Bosz charges were unable to do anything against Juventus away, scoring only a consolation goal at the end (1:3). In the second round, there was a 1:1 home draw with Sporting, although in that match the team was leading until the 84th minute, but they were unable to maintain the advantage.
In the Eredivisie, https://www.psv.nl/home target=_blank rel=noopener>PSV traditionally knows no equal. After nine rounds played, the "red-whites" have the maximum 27 points and are in first place with a gap of five points from their closest pursuer, Utrecht, which, however, played one match less. In the last round before the European Cup game, they managed to beat AZ away with a score of 2:1.
PSV attack is impressive as usual. In the national championship we see 29 goals scored in nine matches played, in the Champions League too, despite not the most outstanding results, they managed to score in two rounds. Captain Luuk de Jong plays a big role in the attack. He has five goals and four assists in the championship. However, in the Champions League the leader has not yet distinguished himself with a single effective action.
Disqualifications and injuries
Verman and Dames are out today due to injuries, while Lozano and Dest are in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- PSV have won in the first half in their last three matches
- PSV have failed to win in eight of their last ten away matches in the Champions League
- At least three goals have been scored in six of the team previous eight away games in the tournament
- Both teams to score have played in eight of PSV last ten away matches in the Champions League
Probable line-up : Benitez - Karsdorp, Flamingo, Boscagli, Junior - Saibari, Shuten, Ledezma - Bakayoko, de Jong, Tillman.
Trends
Bet PSG win on corners with handicap (-1.5)
PSG have not lost on corners in their last seven matches
1.61Bet PSG to win on shots on target
PSG players have had more shots on target than their opponents in 11 of their last 12 matches
1.44Bet Exact score 2:1
PSG have won by more than one goal in only two of their last five matches
8.10Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has been successful in four of the hosts' previous five matches
1.72PSV to score in first half
In the last three matches, PSV players have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
2.50Tip and bets
PSG have seen a slight decline in their game and results recently, they are unable to easily and effortlessly break through the opponents' dense defense, and they have problems with implementation. PSV, of course, does not often please its fans in European Cup matches with top opponents, but in general, the team is doing well now, they had a good match against Sporting, there are no problems in attack, they managed to hit the opponents' goal in two Champions League matches. We do not think that the Parisians will easily win today, even if they manage to take three points, it is unlikely that the hosts will win with an advantage of more than one goal.
Our prediction is PSV victory with Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.77
Bet on total
In two rounds of the Champions League, PSG failed to score on their own; against Girona, we recall, there was an own goal. The Parisians have had noticeable difficulties in creating and converting chances more than once. It is unlikely that the visitors will risk playing open football today, and with such a scenario, it is quite likely that we will not see more than three goals in the match.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.76
Bet on the first half
Let pay attention to the fact that PSG has not played the best opening periods in recent matches. In three of the five previous matches, the Parisians did not win at the end of the first half. We think that the visitors will be able to cope with the opponent opening onslaught today, and it is worth taking advantage of the good odds of the bookmakers for a draw in this game period.
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 2.80
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