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Toronto vs. Tampa Bay: NHL Match Prediction
On October 22, the NHL championship will feature a match between Toronto and Tampa. Bookmakers give a slight preference to the hosts in this match, even though they failed in their last match. Previous matches between the clubs were spectacular and were held in equal struggle. However, it was the Lightning who won more often. In general, both teams are in good shape, so it will be interesting to watch their confrontation. You can find out what bet to make on this event from our forecast
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto can definitely surprise and please their fans this season. Under the leadership of Craig Berube, the team has started playing a different style of hockey and has begun to pay more attention to defense, but at the same time, it still demonstrates good results. However, recently its successful long winning streak of three games was interrupted. Thus, after successful matches against Pittsburgh (4:2) and Los Angeles (6:2), the Leafs could not cope with the Rangers on their ice, suffering a defeat with a score of 1:4.
Auston Matthews scored the only goal of the game. Overall, the Leafs were very active in the offensive zone and took 35 shots, but luck was not on their side that day as they failed to convert quantity into quality.
Before this, Toronto had scored at least four goals and spent most of their time in the opponent zone. However, at the start of the season, the club has not shown itself well in the majority and is one of the worst in this indicator in the league, currently having only 12.5% of the extra man conversion rate. Of course, with all the power of the attacking line, the Leafs must use at least every fifth attempt, otherwise they will greatly lose in efficiency.
Disqualifications and injuries
Devar, Hakanpaa, Jarnkrok, Klingberg and Mermis will not take part in the upcoming match
Interesting trends for betting
- Toronto wins 54.4% of faceoffs
The Leafs look good at the dot and are taking most of the faceoffs
- Toronto is 5-2 in goals scored and allowed in the second period.
The Leafs play well with the back bench and constantly find their chances to score.
Tampa Bay Lightning
USACurrent form
Tampa started this season with three wins in a row. Last year, the team did not start so well and was in seventh or eighth place in the Eastern Conference for a long time. Now, however, they decided to get down to business right away and take one of the first lines of the tournament table. However, after three victories in a row, the Lightning still stumbled and lost away to Ottawa with a score of 4:5. Before the defeat, the Bolts managed to deal with Carolina (4:1), Vancouver (4:1) and Vegas (4:3).
They are currently showing decent performance and are distinguished by no less than four goals per game. However, Tampa defense is far from ideal and mainly relies on the perfect play of goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy.
Let us emphasize that the main sniper of the club, as well as the entire championship, is now Nikita Kucherov, who scores in every game and has already managed to score seven goals. However, in the majority, just like Toronto, the Lightning need to improve, because they currently have the same 12.5% of implementation. Tampa itself plays poorly in the 4x5 format and neutralizes the extra man in only 73.3% of cases, which is a bad indicator. But John Cooper team plays powerfully in equal compositions and constantly finds free space for an attack, and also plays great combination hockey, which is tied to passes.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are no injured or disqualified players in the squad.
Interesting trends for betting
- According to statistics, Tampa opponents take no more than 25 shots on goal
The Lightning manage to block a lot of shots on their goal and try to spend most of their time in the opponent zone
- Tampa Bay is 8-2 in goals scored and allowed in the third period.
The Bolts are strong in the third period and pick up the pace toward the end.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.72Bet 3rd period: away team win
In four out of five meetings, the visitors achieved success in the third period
2.80Tip and bets
We don't think Toronto is stronger than Tampa right now. The hosts already stumbled in their last match against an equally strong opponent in the form of the Rangers, so in our opinion, the odds for their success in the upcoming meeting should be higher. Plus, the two previous face-to-face matches between the clubs ended in favor of the Lightning. The Bolts are doing better on offense than the Leafs, so if they improve a little on defense and act more attentively in their own zone, they will earn their two points.
Prediction - Tampa win with handicap (0) for 2.20
Bet on individual total
Toronto, of course, played well in defense in most of the previous matches, but in the same confrontation with the "cops" they conceded four goals. Tampa is now betting exclusively on the attack. Plus, Nikita Kucherov is in incredible shape, who has scored goals in each match. In four previous meetings, the visitors did not score less than four goals, so it makes sense to bet on their individual total.
We take Tampa individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.70
Total Bet
The last meetings between the clubs were spectacular and often had more than five goals. Both Tampa and Toronto know how to score and play attacking hockey. The hosts have Matthews, the visitors have Kucherov. We think that the teams will find their moments, and we will see at least six goals scored.
We bet on total over 5.5 goals with odds of 1.55
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