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Gamba Osaka vs. Nagoya: Japan Championship Match Prediction
Gamba Osaka and Nagoya will play in the 35th round of the Japanese J. League 1. The match will take place on October 23. The hosts are in the top five of the championship, 11 points behind the leader, while the visitors are in ninth place, having scored eight points less. Which of the rivals is approaching the end of the season in a better position? The answer is in our forecast for this match.
Command Analysis
Gamba Osaka
JapanCurrent form
Last season, Gamba Osaka was quite close to relegation. Then the team took 16th place in the table of 18 and was only five points ahead of relegated Yokohama. This year, the hosts have different goals. The club is only three points behind third place and still theoretically has a chance of third place, but it is quite difficult to seriously believe in such a possibility. In the last six rounds, the hosts have won only one victory, beating Sapporo (2:1) in the round before last. It was a very exciting match. Until the fourth minute of stoppage time, Gamba was losing 0:1, but then scored two goals in just four minutes and snatched victory. In the last match, Dani Poyatos charges tied with Kawasaki (1:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Daichi Hayashi, Masaaki Higashiguchi, Issam Jebali and Genta Miura will not play due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- The team managed to win only one of the last six matches
- The hosts have drawn three of their last five matches.
Estimated lineup : Ichimori - Handa, Nakatani, Fukuoka, Kurokawa - Davhan, Suzuki, Yamashita, Sakamota, Welton - Usami
Nagoya Grampus
JapanCurrent form
Nagoya is in ninth place in the league table, but is still trying to find motivation for the end of the season. The team still has a chance to win a trophy - the visitors have reached the League Cup final, where they will play Albirex Niigata. This match will take place on November 2. At the same time, the team has been doing well in the championship until recently. They managed to win three victories in a row, beating Albirex Niigata (3:0), Kawasaki (2:0) and Iwata (2:0). Only in the last two rounds did the visitors lose, scoring zero points in games with Fukuoka (0:1) and Sapporo (0:2). These results should not be surprising, because between these matches there were semi-final matches of the League Cup, on which the main bet was made.
Disqualifications and injuries
Masahito Ono out with knee injury, Kenedy Mikuni suspended
Interesting trends for betting
- None of the last eight games of the visitors ended in a draw
- The visitors have suffered three defeats in their last four matches.
Estimated lineup : Langerak - Nogami, Uchida, Chang-Ra - Tokumoto, Shiihashi, Inagaki, Kikuchi - Nagai, Morishima - Yamagishi
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the hosts' last four matches have ended with this score
6.50Bet Both Teams to Score
This bet has played in four of the hosts' last five matches
2.05Bet Number 1 in the final score
This pattern has worked in the hosts' last four matches
1.61Tip and bets
It is obvious that the opponents have already lost all motivation for the rest of the season, so all that remains is to calmly finish this J. League draw without serious injuries. Face-to-face meetings between the opponents have not been productive for a long time. In each of the last three matches, one goal was scored. Judging by the teams' latest results, this match will not be an exception. We believe that a bet on the total under is the most reasonable choice.
Our prediction is total under 2.5 goals for 1.63
Bet on the outcome
Both teams have been losing points regularly lately, but the hosts at least haven't lost that often, and there still a ghost of a chance for third place. The visitors are already more busy preparing for the League Cup final, so it unlikely that the result in the championship match will be their top priority. In other words, we don't think Nagoya will win this match.
The second bet is Asian handicap (0) on Gamba Osaka for 1.57
Bet on the first half
In the previous two matches, Nagoya lost in the first half. We think that the home team will be able to take advantage of the opponent weakness and take the lead before the break.
Prediction: Gamba Osaka wins in the first half with odds of 3.00
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