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Atletico Madrid vs Lille: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.05
Atletico suffered a crushing 0:4 away defeat to Benfica in the previous round of the Champions League and clearly intends to rehabilitate themselves in front of the fans for that failure on their home field. Lille has already managed to take points from Real Madrid and made it clear that the team should not be underestimated. How will the face-to-face game between the rivals on October 23 go? We suggest you familiarize yourself with our forecast and choose the exact bets
Command Analysis
Atletico Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Atletico are having a hard time in their opening matches in the Champions League. In the first round, they managed to beat Leipzig with great difficulty (2:1), scoring the decisive goal only at the very end. Then came a trip to Lisbon to Benfica, where they suffered a complete failure (0:4). The Portuguese had a significant advantage, scoring two goals from the penalty spot and two from play. It is impossible not to notice that the "mattress makers" did not make a single shot on target.
After the European Cup failure, Diego Simeone charges in Primera drew away to Real Sociedad (1:1) and won 3:1 against Leganes. As you can see, they failed to keep a clean sheet in these matches. Overall, Atletico is doing well in the national championship - five wins and five draws, not a single defeat. Moreover, there was a battle with Real, which ended in a 1:1 draw. In the La Liga standings, the "mattress makers" are in third place with 20 points. They are seven points behind the leader Barcelona and four points behind Real Madrid, which is in second place.
Disqualifications and injuries
Llorente, Azpilicueta and Le Normand will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Atletico have not scored more than one goal in the first half in their last five matches
- At least three goals have been scored in nine of Madrid previous 11 Champions League matches
- Both teams have scored in 10 of Atletico last 14 Champions League games
- Atletico have not lost in regulation time in their last 11 home matches in the Champions League (seven wins and four draws)
Probable line-up : Oblak - Molina, Lenglet, Witsel, Galan - Riquelme, Koke, Barrios, Griezmann - Sorlot, Correa.
Lille
FranceCurrent form
Lille started the Champions League with a 0:2 away defeat to Sporting. It seemed that another defeat was inevitable in the second round, as the current tournament winner Real Madrid was among the opponents. However, Bruno Genesio charges achieved a sensational victory on their home field with a minimal score of 1:0. At the end of the first half, they managed to score a goal from the penalty spot, after which they defended quite confidently in the second 45 minutes and did not allow the opponent formidable attack to recoup.
In Ligue 1, https://www.losc.fr target=_blank rel=noopener>Lille did not have the best start, but then improved significantly. The "Magnos" have not lost in the last four rounds (two wins and two draws). With 14 points after eight rounds, the team occupies fourth place. In the last round, a goalless draw was recorded with Monaco on the road. It should be noted that, taking into account all tournaments, Lille is currently on an unbeaten streak of five matches, and the team has conceded only one goal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Umtiti, Santos, Ismaily, Bentaleb, Haraldsson and I. Mbappe will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lille have scored in 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches
- In only one of the previous five matches did the "dogs" lose in the first half
- Lille have lost seven of their last nine matches in terms of shots on target
Probable line-up : Chevalier - Meunier, Diakite, Alexandro, Bakker - Bouhaddi, A. Gomes - Zhegrova, E. Gomes, Sahraoui - David.
Trends
Bet Total Yellow Cards Atletico Over 1.5
Atletico Madrid have received more than one yellow card in nine of their last 11 home Champions League games
1.72Bet Exact score 2:1
Two of Lille last four defeats have come by one goal
8.20Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has been successful in Lille three previous matches
1.46Bet Goals in both halves – yes
Atletico last three matches have seen goals scored in each half
1.70Tip and bets
It is noticeable that Atletico lacks stability this season, the team plays with decent fluctuations, much depends on how the leaders play in a particular match. There are no reliable actions in defense, which Diego Simeone has taught everyone to do, now. In the four previous matches, the "mattress makers" have always conceded. In the match against Real, Lille demonstrated that it can tactically competently adapt to an opponent superior in class. Gradually, the "dogs" played out, they are on a series of five games without defeat. We believe that the guests will not allow themselves an outright failure today.
Our prediction is a Lille victory with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.62
Bet on total
The bookmakers' line offers high odds that the opponents will exchange goals today. Considering the far from reliable defense of the Madrid team and the clear implementation of Lille, we believe that we will see goals scored by both teams. Moreover, such a bet was successful in the last four games of Atletico.
Second bet - both teams will score with odds of 2.05
Bet on corners
Statistically, we note that in seven of the last nine away matches in the Champions League, Lille did not take more than three corners. Accordingly, we recommend another option for betting.
Prediction - Lille corners total under 3.5 with odds of 1.75
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