Liontips
Philadelphia vs. Minnesota: NHL Match Prediction
Philadelphia will face Minnesota at home on October 26. The Flyers have been showing weak results since the start of the season, while the Wild, on the contrary, are on a long winning streak. It is not surprising that bookmakers consider the Wild to be the favorites of the confrontation, even taking into account that they are playing away. However, previous meetings between the teams were equal and tense. Is it worth betting on the success of Hines' team? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
Philadelphia Flyers
USACurrent form
Philadelphia is the main outsider of the Eastern Conference and occupies the last place in the table. The team has only three points. It was able to win only in the opening match and since then has only lost match after match. Incidentally, in the four previous meetings the club was left without any points. On the road, the Flyers failed to cope with Seattle (4:6) and Washington (3:6), and at home they lost to Vancouver (0:3) and the same Capitals - 1:4. Let us emphasize that often in their goal there are no less than three or four pucks. John Tortorella team plays rather primitively and acts trivially on counterattacks, but fails time after time in defense.
Neither Ivan Fedotov nor Samuel Ersson can influence the situation in any way and also demonstrate mediocre performance. Usually the Flyers perform the most disastrously in the second twenty minutes, during which they concede a lot and cannot cope with the pace of the game with the far benches. Oddly enough, they play quite reliably in the minority and occupy the second line in the league in this indicator, having 89.7% of the extra man neutralization. At the same time, Matvey Michkov has had an excellent first season in the NHL, having managed to score seven points in the goal + pass system. The Russian forward is the club leading scorer at the moment.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ellis, Hart and Johansen will not play in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Philadelphia has a 24.1% power play percentage.
According to statistics, the "pilots" use every fifth attempt in the 5x4 format
- The Flyers are averaging 14.71 penalty minutes per game.
Philadelphia is not known for its good discipline and has many penalties in every match
Minnesota Wild
USACurrent form
Minnesota has risen to second place in the Western Conference and earned 12 points in total. The team is literally a couple of points behind the leader, so it can climb to first place in the near future. Let us emphasize that it has not lost in regulation time and has performed well in every match. At the moment, the Wild are on a series of four victories. It is noteworthy that they have gained such form while playing on the road. Despite a difficult schedule, the Wild have already managed to deal with Columbus (3:1), Florida (5:1) on the road and proved their superiority over Tampa with a score of 4:2. By the way, in none of their recent matches have they conceded more than one or two goals.
John Hynes' team has found the perfect balance between defense and attack so far. Minnesota doesn't have a crazy number of goals scored, but at the same time, this style helps them earn points. It impossible not to mention Kirill Kaprizov, who has looked very strong at the start of the championship and has already earned 13 points in the goal + pass system and currently ranks sixth in the list of the league best scorers. The Wild also play well in the majority and have a 31.8% power play rate. Overall, if they manage to maintain this condition, they can claim a lot this year.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hartman and Spurgeon are out with injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Minnesota gets 3.43 penalty minutes
The "Savages" are distinguished by phenomenal discipline and get by with a minimum number of penalties
- The Wild are 8-1 in goals scored and allowed in the first period.
Minnesota is the best team in the first period right now.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches involving visitors, the first period was unproductive
1.95Bet 3rd period: Minnesota win
In three out of four games, the Wild won in the third period.
2.40Tip and bets
Minnesota currently looks much stronger than its opponent. The Wild are on a long winning streak and are definitely not going to stumble against Philadelphia, which is currently going through bad times and is losing in all matches within 60 minutes. The Wild game looks better and more structured than that of the Flyers, who rely on chance and act exclusively on counterattacks. In addition, the hosts are playing undisciplined and are penalized a lot, for which Hines' team will certainly punish them.
Prediction - Minnesota win for 2.20
Bet on individual total
Minnesota is distinguished by its almost perfect defense. In recent matches, the team has managed with no more than two missed goals. It will be very difficult for Philadelphia to open up the opponent defense, given that the Wild know very well how to act against such teams. We think that the hosts will limit themselves to two goals in this confrontation, but with insurance we suggest betting on the whole total.
We bet on Philadelphia individual total under three goals for 1.65
Total Bet
Minnesota style of play doesn't allow for a lot of goals scored. The Wild are good at defending, and their goalies do a good job of their job. They'll likely play the same way in the upcoming game. Philadelphia will have to adapt to their opponent, so it likely that this game will be a low-scoring affair.
We take the total under six goals with a coefficient of 1.75
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