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Arsenal vs Liverpool: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds of 3.20
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Arsenal have beaten Liverpool just once. The next battle between the title contenders will take place on October 27 as part of the ninth round of the Premier League. Bookmakers, as the hosts, give the Gunners a slight advantage. How justified is this alignment of forces? What bets should you play today on the central match of the game day in the Premier League? We recommend that you read our forecast. Also, the site star experts Dmitry Gradilenko, Roman Pavlyuchenko, Alexander Mostovoy and Elvin Kerimov share their opinions on the upcoming match
Command Analysis
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
After the international break, Arsenal performance is not impressive. First, there was the first defeat in the Premier League, and from a modest Bournemouth by all accounts (0:2). Then, not without problems, they managed to beat Shakhtar in the Champions League (1:0). It would seem that in these matches, the Gunners should have achieved their goal with class, in an economical mode, but this did not happen. We see Saliba removal against the Cherries, difficulties with implementation against the Miners. After winning the Champions League, Mikel Arteta noted not only the importance of the three points, but also the difficulties in the tournament.
After the defeat to Bournemouth, the Londoners allowed their main competitors for first place, Liverpool and Manchester City, to get a small lead. Today, there is a chance to make up the difference in a face-to-face confrontation. Arsenal have been almost flawless at home in the Premier League this season. The only loss of points was in the confrontation with Brighton (1:1). It is worth noting that in four home matches, they managed to play to zero only with Wolverhampton (2:0).
It pretty common to see Arsenal struggling with their squad. The possible absence of Saka is worrying. Plus, Havertz and Martinelli have clearly lost their form since the start of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Odegaard, Tomiyasu, Tierney and Calafiori are all out with injuries. Saliba will serve a suspension. Saka and Timber are questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- There have been no more than three goals scored in eight of Arsenal last 11 Premier League games
- Arsenal have not conceded in the first half in their last five matches in all competitions
- The Gunners are unbeaten at home in their last seven Premier League games (six wins and one draw)
- Arsenal have committed more fouls than their opponents in six of their last eight games
Probable line-up : Raya - Partey, White, Gabriel, Kiver - Rice, Jorginho, Merino - Trossard, Havertz, Martinelli.
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
Liverpool are in excellent shape for the upcoming crucial encounter in London, on an eight-match winning streak in all competitions. The Merseysiders have conceded just four goals in this stretch, and it is clear that Arne Slot work is most noticeable in defense. The team is paying much more attention to defense, and opponents are under constant pressure even far from Liverpool penalty area.
In the Premier League, the Reds have only one unsuccessful match against Nottingham Forest (0:1), where the game was not going well, they failed to realize any of the created moments. In all the other seven matches in the championship, Liverpool achieved victories. The players' experience allows them to play successfully at other arenas - away from home we see the maximum 12 points in four matches played and only one goal conceded. In the last round, the Merseysiders won a difficult match against Chelsea (2:1) on their home field. Salah, who has not slowed down since the beginning of the season, scored another goal, and has five goals and as many accurate passes.
In the Champions League, https://www.liverpoolfc.com target=_blank rel=noopener>Liverpool won a hard-fought away win over Leipzig this week with a minimal score of 1:0. Once again, Salah played a role, providing an assist to Nunez. In the league table, with nine points, Arne Sloth men are in second place and only lose first place to Aston Villa on additional indicators. These two teams are the only ones who have not lost a single point in three rounds.
Disqualifications and injuries
Allison, Chiesa, Elliott and Bradley are all out of the upcoming game due to injury, with Jota questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Seven of Liverpool last nine Premier League games have seen one team fail to score
- In 11 previous Premier League matches, the Merseysiders have not conceded in the first half
- Liverpool have had more shots on goal than their opponents in six of their last eight games
Probable line-up : Kelleher - Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson - Gravenberg, McAllister - Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo - Nunez.
Trends
Bet Liverpool to win on corners
In six of the last seven head-to-head meetings at Arsenal ground, the visitors have won on corners
2.60Arsenal to win on offsides
Arsenal have not lost due to offsides in five of their last six matches
1.55Bet Exact score 0:1
Liverpool have won two of their last three games by that scoreline
9.30Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has been successful in Liverpool previous five matches
1.44Liverpool to score in first half
Liverpool players have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes of their last five matches
2.14Tip and bets
It looks like Arsenal are in a slump. They failed to beat Bournemouth, had a tough time in the Champions League against Shakhtar, it is noticeable that the Londoners often play too safe, play too cautiously. Liverpool have not slowed down since the start of the season, they play very reliably in defense, Sloth game model with high pressing works well, there are no gaps between the lines. Plus, Salah is now in peak form, he can create a scoring opportunity on his own. In the last five head-to-head encounters, the Merseysiders have lost to the Gunners only once, we think the visitors will be closer to getting three points today.
Our prediction is Liverpool to win with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.05
Bet on total
Liverpool have conceded only three goals in the Premier League since the start of the season. Arsenal are also quite reliable in defense and concede an average of one goal per game. There is a high probability that the fate of the match today could be decided by one goal.
The second bet is total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.94
Bet on the exact difference in the score
The Merseysiders are heading into the game on an eight-game winning streak, winning six of those by one or two goals. It unlikely they'll be able to win by a more confident score against a tough opponent today.
Prediction: Liverpool win by one or two goals with odds of 3.20
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