Severstal vs. Amur: KHL Match Prediction
A new home series of the local hockey team will begin in Cherepovets on October 27. Severstal has gained excellent form and won its last three matches. Amur suffered a crushing defeat in the two opening matches during a trip to central Russia. Andrey Martemyanov team missed 12 goals and did not score a single one. The rivals recently met each other in Khabarovsk, and then the steelworkers were able to win in regular time. What will the return match be like? Will the Far Easterners be able to take revenge? Find out from our forecast for the clash in the capital of the Vologda Region

Command Analysis

Severstal Cherepovets

Current form
Severstal completed its away series of games in the Far East with a 100% result. The team from the Vologda Region rose to sixth place in the Western Conference and now has 22 points after 18 games. On the road, the steelmakers beat Admiral (6:5, OT), recovering from a 1:4 score by the equator of the meeting, after which they won in Khabarovsk (2:1). Before returning home, Andrei Kozyrev charges confidently beat Sibir in Novosibirsk (4:2).
The "black and yellows" have five wins in five previous meetings, and the only defeat of "Seva" was the most unexpected. In the last match on home ice, the hosts sensationally lost to "Kunlun" (0:3), without scoring a single puck into the Chinese net. In general, in the second half of October, Adam Liszka team played well in attack. In the three previous starts alone, Severstal scored 11 accurate shots. Kirill Pilipenko remains the team top scorer. The Russian has 18 points in the "goal+pass" system (9+9).
Disqualifications and injuries
Makar Fomin and Yanni Kaldis will not be able to help their team at the start of the home series.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal takes 32 shots on goal per game
The Black and Yellows put enormous pressure on their opponents' goalkeepers in every game.
- The Steelers are winning just 45.7 percent of their faceoffs.
So far, the team centers have not been so successful at the point and have lost more often.

Amur Khabarovsk

Current form
Amur has not been able to score points since October 13, and such results could not but affect the guests' position in the conference table. The Tigers currently occupy 13th place in the East with 12 points after 19 starts. After a fairly successful start to the last home series of games and a victory over Lada (2:0), the Khabarovsk team fell apart and could not earn a single point. The Tigers lost to Togliatti the next day (3:5), and then failed to cope with Severstal (1:2) and Spartak (4:5). Having received time for rest and a flight, Andrei Martemyanov charges went on an away trip to central Russia. The Cats suffered a crushing defeat to CSKA in Moscow (0:7), and were routed in their last game in Yaroslavl (0:5).
Evgeny Grachev team has already lost four away games in a row. Now the Far Easterners are experiencing major problems in terms of converting their chances. The Amur team made 51 shots in two games of the current away series and did not score a single goal. The visitors' expensive legionnaires are not living up to expectations. Alex Galchenyuk scored seven points (4+3), but is only 150th on the list of the KHL best scorers.
Disqualifications and injuries
Devin Brossoit did not travel with the team to central Russia.
Interesting trends for betting
- Amur throws 31 times per game on average
The visitors take quite a lot of shots, but only convert 5.7% of their chances.
- The visitors only make 18 power moves per game.
The Tigers constantly impose contact hockey on their opponents, regularly playing without the puck.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In two of the last three matches involving Severstal , the first period was productive
2.00Bet 2nd period: Severstal with handicap (0)
Amur has lost five second periods in a row
Tip and bets
We believe that Amur losing streak will continue in Cherepovets. The Tigers have been playing very poorly away from home and have lost their first two games with a total score of 0:12. Severstal has picked up speed and now Andrey Kozyrev team has a great opportunity to extend their streak of games with points earned. We don't think that the Khabarovsk club will sharply improve its scoring and start scoring. Everything points to the fact that on Sunday we will see another success for the team from the Vologda Region. We suggest betting on the hosts' victory in regular time.
Our prediction is a victory for Severstal at 1.87
Bet on individual total
Severstal have scored 11 goals in their previous three games, while Amur have conceded 12 goals in just their first two away starts. In the previous four meetings between the clubs in Cherepovets, the hosts have scored at least three goals three times. With the Tigers' current form, it hard to imagine them holding off an opponent who has picked up great momentum.
Forecast - Severstal individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.65
Bet on total
Severstal always plays effectively on home ice and usually regularly scores at least five or six goals in matches in Cherepovets. Amur defense is more like a sieve, but the visitors have a huge motivation to score. We believe that both teams will try to punish each other for mistakes and the meeting will be spectacular. We expect at least five accurate shots from the teams on Sunday.
Forecast - total over 4.5 goals for 1.65