Liontips
St. Pauli vs. Wolfsburg: Bundesliga Match Prediction
In three home games since the start of the season, St. Pauli has only one point. Wolfsburg have two wins in three away games. Bookmakers do not give any clear advantage to either side in the upcoming match. How will events unfold on the field on October 26 and what are the best bets to make? – the answer is in our expert’s forecast
Command Analysis
St. Pauli
GermanyCurrent form
After returning to the Bundesliga, St. Pauli, as expected, immediately joined the fight to retain their place. So far, Alexander Blessin charges have four points after seven rounds played and are in 16th place in the table. The Pirates' only victory was won away against Freiburg with a score of 3:0. The team has a hard time in home matches, as they are unable to play as number one and break down the opponents' defense in positional attacks. In the last round, St. Pauli lost away to Borussia Dortmund (1:2), although they managed to put up a decent fight against their famous opponent.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ahlers, Burchert, Zoller, Voll, Saad and Metcalf will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- In three of the last four matches, St. Pauli has led in shots
- The two previous matches involving the team saw an exchange of goals scored
Probable line-up : Vasil - Val, Smith, Mets - Saliakas, Irvin, Bukhalfa, Treu - Afolayan, Eggestein, Guilavogui.
Wolfsburg
GermanyCurrent form
Wolfsburg are approaching the start of the eighth round only in 13th place in the standings with seven points to their credit. It seemed that after a very difficult calendar at the start, the Wolves would be able to breathe a sigh of relief in the previous round and deal with Werder. However, instead of that, an unexpected 2-4 home defeat to Werder followed. In that meeting, Ralph Hasenhüttl men scored first, but then allowed a lot to their opponents, who made seven shots on target, four of which were accurate. Plus, Patrick Wimmer was sent off in the second half. Wolfsburg has obvious problems in defense, as they have managed to concede 16 goals in seven matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Wolfsburg have a lot of losses in their squad. Rogerio, Paredes, Klinger, Bialek, Meyer, Nmecha and Vrankx will be out due to injury. Arnold and Wimmer will serve suspensions.
Interesting trends for betting
- Wolfsburg have scored at least four goals in six of their last eight matches
- The Wolves have exchanged goals in their previous five Bundesliga encounters
Estimated line-up : Grabara – Vavro, Bornau, Koulierakis – Baku, Gerhardt, Ozcan, Kaminsky – Wind – Thomas, Amur.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the hosts' last four matches, goals were scored in each half
1.61Bet : Wolfsburg to win by fouls
In the four previous matches, Wolfsburg players have committed more fouls than their opponents
1.64Bet Exact score 2:3
St. Pauli suffered their last two league defeats by conceding three goals each
30.00Tip and bets
Both teams are performing poorly this season, while Wolfsburg has some advantage in class and looks more solid in attack than their opponent. Both teams have problems with their lineup. The home field factor is not helping St. Pauli this season, it is clearly difficult for the players to play first number and dictate their terms of the game. We believe that the bookmakers' line is somewhat underestimating the guests.
Our prediction is a Wolfsburg victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.00
Bet on total
We believe that Wolfsburg, as a more experienced team, will dictate their terms today. In such a scenario, we should expect an open game. Only in one of the seven matches involving the "wolves" in the championship were less than three goals scored.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.88
Bet on corners
It should be noted that in three of the last four matches, Wolfsburg took fewer corners than their opponents. Based on these statistics, we recommend another option for betting.
Prediction: St. Pauli win on corners with odds of 2.00
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