Liontips
Minnesota vs. Tampa Bay: NHL Match Prediction
On November 2, the NHL championship will feature a game between Minnesota and Tampa. This match could well be the central event of the game day. The teams have shown great results this season and are approaching this match in good shape. The Wild have already managed to deal with the Lightning once this season. What bet should you make this time? Find out in our forecast
Command Analysis
Minnesota Wild
USACurrent form
Minnesota is one of the leaders of the Western Conference and currently occupies the fourth position in the standings. The team currently has 14 points and feels extremely comfortable. Not long ago, it had a series of four victories, after which it still lost on the road to Philadelphia (5:7). However, John Hynes' team did not even think about stopping there, so in the next meeting they gave it their all and dealt with Pittsburgh with a score of 5:3, thereby ending an incredibly long and difficult series of away games. Now they have three games on home ice ahead, so they can improve their standings.
By the way, in many previous matches, the Wild created a huge number of dangerous moments and used them well, thanks to which they often sent at least three or four pucks into the goal net. Of course, the main active figure in the attack is Kirill Kaprizov, who gives a lot of assists and scores himself, already having 18 points in the goal + pass system. It is also worth mentioning that the Wild make good use of the majority and, on average, realize every fourth attempt in the 5x4 format. Minnesota plays its strongest in the first 40 minutes of the game, during which it tries to earn a comfortable advantage, and simply hold on to it in the third period.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ryan Hartman will not play in the match due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Minnesota averages 4.33 penalty minutes
Minnesota plays with discipline and rarely gets more than two penalties per game.
- The Savages have a 70.6% power play neutralization rate.
Minnesota is quite weak on the penalty kill and remains one of the worst teams in the league in this area.
Tampa Bay Lightning
USACurrent form
Tampa is in fifth place in the East and has already scored 14 points. The team is also having a great start to the season and may well consolidate its place in the top three in the near future. Moreover, after the defeat by the Wild, it gained excellent form and produced a series of three victories. Thus, on home ice, the Lightning dealt with Washington (3:0), Nashville (3:2 OT), and also easily beat Colorado on the road with a score of 5:2. As a rule, the Bolts play best when there are no more than two pucks in their net, since they themselves are not always able to score a lot.
The team also cannot boast the same power play conversion rate as Minnesota, as it ranks among the last in the league in this indicator and has only 14.7%. However, Nikita Kucherov continues to show incredible results, having scored 19 points in the goal+pass system. The Lightning spend a lot of time in positional attacks, but they can also play as the second number. Thanks to this variability, they cause problems for many opponents. It is also worth remembering that Andrei Vasilevsky plays in goal. No matter what form the Russian goalie is in, he still copes with his duties perfectly, and it is incredibly difficult for him to score.
Disqualifications and injuries
Erik Cernak will not play in the match due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Tampa Bay is 14-8 in goals scored and allowed in the third period.
The Lightning are playing strong in the third period and often score goals in it
- The Lightning average 15 hits per game.
The Bolts don't play physical hockey and are more focused on attacking
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches involving the home team, the first period was productive
1.80Bet 2nd period: home team win
In three out of four matches, the home team achieved victory in the second period.
2.70Tip and bets
Minnesota has earned points in many of the previous meetings. Only once in ten games has it lost within 60 minutes, and in the other cases it has at least taken the game to overtime. The Wild have also had time to recover after returning from a series of away games. Tampa has previously failed to cope with the Wild on home ice, and it will be even more difficult for it to get revenge on the road.
Prediction - Minnesota win for 2.45
Bet on individual total
In most of the previous matches, Minnesota showed excellent results and scored at least three or four goals. The team knows how to use its chances well and has a number of good players in the squad. The Bolts, on the other hand, act more freely on the road and are also more focused on attack, so usually at least three goals end up in their net. We think that this time the hosts will please the fans with goals.
We take Minnesota individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.65
Total Bet
Many previous meetings between the clubs were productive and took place with more than five goals scored. Minnesota also holds most of the matches spectacularly and finishes them with a considerable number of goals. Both teams have a strong attack line and create many moments, so it makes sense to bet on the total over.
We bet on total over 5.5 goals with odds of 1.77
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