Liontips
Sabalenka vs. Paolini: WTA Finals Match Prediction
At the start of the final tournament in Riyadh, Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini won and significantly increased their chances of reaching the semifinals. According to what scenario will events develop in the face-to-face match between the tennis players on November 4 and what bets should be played today? - the answer is in our forecast
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
In Riyadh, Sabalenka is fighting not only for the trophy, but also for the title of world No. 1. Three victories in the group stage will allow her to finish the season at the top of the world rankings. The Belarusian tennis player played her first match against Zheng Jingwen at a high level, winning with a score of 6-3, 6-4. In that match, Arina worked flawlessly on her serve - 76% of the points won, and her opponent had only one unimplemented break point.
Professional qualities
Sabalenka plays a powerful attacking tennis, at the first opportunity she tries to hit a winner, using a powerful forehand most often. Arina also has a strong serve in her arsenal, plus she has noticeably improved her stability in the game on the back line.
Current indicators in the tour
At the end of the season, Arina rose to first place in the ranking, which she is trying to maintain following the tournament in Riyadh. In total, this year, the Belarusian tennis player played 68 matches on the tour, winning 55 of them.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sabalenka winning streak now stands at six matches
- Arina won two of her previous three victories in three sets.
Jasmine Paolini
ItalyCurrent form
Paolini made her debut at the final tournament thanks to her excellent results during the season. In the first round, Jasmine won a tough fight against Elena Rybakina (7-6, 6-4). The Italian took full advantage of her opponent numerous mistakes, while she herself gave up her serve only once, and managed to make two breaks in that match.
Professional qualities
Paolini does not have the outstanding physical attributes to play in a super-aggressive manner. Jasmine relies on stable play on the back line, on speed and precise counter-attacks, which brings her success.
Current indicators in the tour
Paolini is ranked fourth in the world, the best achievement of her career. Since the beginning of the year, she has played 58 matches on the tour, winning 40 of them.
Interesting facts for betting
- Paolini has only traded sets with her opponents in one of her last five matches
- In four of the Italian previous five matches, the second set was played to no more than nine games
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
This is the scenario that unfolded in three of the four personal meetings.
2.21Bet 2nd set: total over 9.5 games
This bet was successful in three out of four head-to-head matches.
2.47Tip and bets
The tennis players have played each other four times and won two victories each. However, we do not expect much intrigue today. Sabalenka entered the tournament very well right away, the surface in the local hall is fast, it perfectly suits Arina style of play, who left Zheng Jingwen no chance with her serve in the first round. It is unlikely that Paolini will cope with the pressure of the Belarusian tennis player.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-4.5) games with odds of 1.60
Bet on total
In the match against Zheng Jingwen, the Belarusian tennis player allowed her opponent to score seven games. Paolini does not have a strong serve in her arsenal, and it is unlikely that she can count on anything more today.
The second bet is total under 20 games for 1.88
Bet on the first set
In the five previous matches involving Sabalenka, no more than nine games were played in the first set. We expect that Arina will confidently show her advantage on the court right away in the upcoming match.
Forecast - total games in the first set under 9.5 with odds of 1.47
Upcoming matches
Read more
Tips from experts
Today tips
Betting predictions stat
