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Sventek vs. Kasatkina: WTA Finals Match Prediction
In the final round of the group stage of the final tournament in Riyadh on November 7, Iga Swiatek will play against Daria Kasatkina. The Russian tennis player received the right to play today due to the withdrawal of Jessica Pegula from the tournament. Will Daria surprise the former world number one today?
Command Analysis
Iga Swiatek
PolandCurrent form
Šwiętek approached the start of the final tournament without any game practice and under the guidance of a new coach, Wim Fisset. The Polish tennis player did not impress with her game. In the first round, she barely beat Krejcikova (4-6, 7-5, 6-2). Then came the defeat to Gauff (3-6, 4-6). In the match with Cori, the Polish tennis player made 47 unforced errors, it is hard to count on a victory with such a result. The failure in the match with the American led to the fact that Šwiętek lost even a theoretical chance to finish the year as the world number one racket. However, there is a chance to advance from the group.
Professional qualities
It should be noted that under the new coach, Šwiętek played two matches and it is noticeable that she began to play in a more aggressive manner. So far, this has not led to a completely positive effect - we see too many unforced errors.
Current indicators in the tour
Swiatek was the world number one tennis player for a long time, but missing the Asian tournament series meant she lost her lead and is now number two in the rankings. Since the beginning of the year, Iga has played 69 matches on the tour, winning 60 of them.
Interesting facts for betting
- In two matches in Riyadh, Swiatek made 47 unforced errors
- Only one of IGA last five matches has gone to three sets.
Daria Kasatkina
AustraliaCurrent form
Kasatkina got to the final tournament as a reserve and got a chance to play in the third round. Darya cannot count on getting out of the group, but in terms of motivation there are decent prizes. At the last tournaments, the Russian tennis player showed herself from the best side. Let us recall that she managed to win the competition in Ningbo, and there was also a quarterfinal in Tokyo.
Professional qualities
Darya plays defensive tennis, it is not easy to break her on the back line. At the same time, she does not have a powerful serve in her arsenal, she has to fight for every point in long rallies, fortunately, she has no problems with physical endurance.
Current indicators in the tour
At the moment, Kasatkina is ranked ninth in the world. She has 40 wins and 22 losses since the beginning of the year. Since the beginning of the year, Daria has won two trophies - in Eastbourne and Ningbo.
Interesting facts for betting
- In four of her last five matches, Kasatkina has exchanged winning sets with her opponents
- In the Russian tennis player three previous matches, no more than nine games were played in the first set
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
The bet won in five of the six head-to-head matches
1.33Rate Set Result: 2>1
This scenario has played out in three of Swiatek last five matches.
2.21Tip and bets
Back in 2021, Šwiętek lost to Kasatkina in their first personal meeting on grass. In the following five matches in a row, Iga confidently finished in her favor in face-to-face confrontations, without losing a single set. Daria unexpectedly received the right to play one match at the final tournament today, she has no serious tournament motivation, it is unlikely that she will be able to counter this inconvenient opponent.
Our prediction is a victory for Swiatek with a handicap of (-5) games with a coefficient of 1.65
Bet on total
Šwiętek has beaten Kasatkina five times in her career and has never given her more than five games. We don’t expect the upcoming meeting to be an exception.
The second bet is total under 19.5 games for 1.90
Bet on the second set
The opponents have played each other six times and invariably played no more than nine games in the second set. We believe that today much in this match will be decided after the first set.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the second set with odds of 1.45
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